Reply #15: You need to get a wee bit of a clue....

[Bread and Circus]

1st) Obama was not supposed to win Iowa, yet he did.
2nd) Obama was not supposed to come as close in New Hampshire as he did (NH has always been Hillary's to lose), yet he did.
3rd) He never "led" New Hampshire. The polls were just wrong. Obviously, they didn't sample correctly
4th) Hillary won NH by a very slim margin, she had been leading by a wide margin all year. It was Obama that pulled close.
5th) Hillary only won because of gender based politics, white women voted for one of their own, by a huge margin.
6th) Obama has done vastly better with independent voters which is how the GE will be won.

In the General election, Obama is the solid money.

All that said, 2 things are still true:

1.) Hillary's gender based politics vote may still rule the day and she may win it all on the strength of women voting for one of their own.
2.) Obama got some bump from Iowa in that he was supposed to lose NH by a larger margin but his camp failed to shape the narrative so that Hillary's small win is perceived as a change in momentum for her favor.

I really want Obama to win at this point but I'm very afraid that the Clinton's still have a lot of tricks up their sleeves and that Democratic Women are going to vote for Hillary primarily because she's a woman (whether that's right or wrong is another debate).