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Reply #8: There was a Texas poll taken on Jan 30-31 & released Feb 1st [View All]

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
Bucky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-08-08 07:58 PM
Response to Original message
8. There was a Texas poll taken on Jan 30-31 & released Feb 1st
http://ivrpolls.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=33&Itemid=1

IVR had Texas like this (with previous results in parenthases):

* Clinton 48% (46%)
* Obama 38% (28%)
* Gravel 3% (0%)
* Undecided 10% (8%)


The site reports...
November and December polls both gave Hillary Clinton a hefty 51% to 17% lead over Barack Obama, but that has changed considerably over the last two polls. Current results give her just a ten point lead over her main rival, 48% to 38%. Mike Gravel received 3% while 12% were undecided. Much of Obama's increase has come from his increase in support among Latinos. In December, Clinton had a 70 to 7 lead in this group. The January 10 poll was 63-18. In this poll, the margin was down to 60-29. That is still a wide margin, but 2-1 is a lot different from 10-1. Edwards was at 5% among Latinos in the January 10 poll, so Obama's gain cannot be completely explained by his departure. There is a significant gender gap as Latino men under 60 were more likely to support Obama while Latinas under 60 gave Clinton large margins. Clinton easily led both sides of the 60+ group.

So Obama is showing a good deal of movement while Clinton has clearly left the "name ID" phase of her campaign and seems to enjoy a solid, but far from permanent, lead here.
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