Reply #24: I got it backwards and now corrected the OP

[jackson_dem]

Still the point of 4:1 racial voting stands regardless of whether it is 67 or 72.

Hmmm...but ARG's MS poll has Obama ahead 65-28 among women. That is hard to believe and Hill should do better than 61% of the white vote. I think the truth is somewhere in between ARG and IA but if Hill can somehow keep it within 10 it will be a moral victory for her and blunt the modicum of momentum Obama may get out of winning a state he was expected to win big all along.