Reply #102: The poster's point is a fair one at this point in the election season.

[jonestonesusa]

There's no doubt that Obama faces challenges to carry these important states in the GE - so does Clinton. However, another region that is a must hold for the Democrats is the Upper Midwest. To win, the Democrats must carry Iowa, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Illinois, and Michigan. HC is probably strongest in Michigan among these states, but in my view Obama is stronger in Iowa, Wisconsin, Minnesota, and Illinois.

So while there's some cherry picking here and some echoing of HC's campaign talking points, there's also a real challenge that Obama faces in these states, and Obama is the first to acknowledge this. Unlike HC, BO is not taking for granted that all these states will stay blue without a pointed and effective campaign. But he'll get a big bump among much of the Democratic progressive community once he receives the nomination, as he is likely to. So I give limited credence to the current polls that are predicated on a Clinton victory in the primary season.