Reply #53: Your stats don't explain this

[quaker bill]

very well at all. You might want to check the math. Note the trendline and how Hillary Clinton peaks at about 46 to 47, well before Iowa.

Also note that the marked shift to Obama, the point of inflection, first occurs in 2007. A further observation is that Hillary rarely cracked 40 during the entire "inevitability" period, and she has been on a shallow downslope since late 2007.

The effects of your reported decline in support are not observed in this data, which is a compilation of all major national polls.