Reply #2: Thats absurd.

[Nicholas_J]

Check close elections over the last 40 years and you will find in most cases, except Clinton in 1996, and Reagans second term, the cnadidate who was ahead varied throught the campaign clear until the last week before the election. Carter was beating Reagan until the last week of 1980. Gore was beating Bush until the day of the election. In every election, the candidate who just had his convention gets ahead of the guy who already had his convention, or hadnt had it yet. SHould have been winning by is the exception in American Presidential Elections, not the rule.