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Reply #10: Actually Obama's wins have generally been by larger margins so he is getting more delegates [View All]

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
yellowcanine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-11-08 01:43 PM
Response to Reply #9
10. Actually Obama's wins have generally been by larger margins so he is getting more delegates
proportionately from losses than Hillary is. Biggest difference to this point is that Hillary has won more large states and has more super delegates - but even so, Obama is pulling ahead in pledged delegates and there are many super delegates still to declare. - And super delegates can change their minds while pledged delegates cannot - unless it goes to a second ballot. If Hillary gets below 40% in both Virginia and Maryland tomorrow her situation gets a little grim, imo, as she is unlikely to be able to hold Obama to under 40% in any of the remaining primaries and in fact could lose some of them. Momentum is a strange thing in politics - hard to predict and usually only fully apparent after the fact - but Obama appears to be building momentum based on popularity, unease about Hillary's chances in November, and name recognition.
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