Pennsylvania's new Democrats could mean Obama Win

[Perky]

http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/

The final numbers still aren't in for voter registration in Pennsylvania, which closed on March 24, but according to the spreadsheet (.xls) http://www.dos.state.pa.us/elections/lib/elections/055_voter_registration_statistics/currentstats/currentvotestats.xls the Secretary of State is maintaining, the numbers could make a real difference in the primary.

There have been 102,113 new Democratic registrations this year, and another 132,688 voters who switched their affiliation to Democrat.

The Obama campaign has been running an all-out registration effort there, and Jay Newton Small reported recently (http://www.time.com/time/politics/article/0,8599,1725397,00.html) that the highest registration appears to be in Obama's core. Registration also accelerated dramatically in the days leading up to the March 24 deadline.

An Obama aide told me recently that the campaign believes it added more than 200,000 supporters through the process, a number that could, at the least, narrow Clinton's margin substantially in a contest where the highest estimates of turnout run between 1.5 million and 2 million.


Let's consider that math Let's say 75% of Obama's new registrants turn out for him That is 150,000 voters

If the Turnout is 1.8 Million before the new folks and he is down by 7%. 7% of 1.8 M is 125,000

This thing is going to be really really close if Clinton maintains the current polling. If He gets any closer....He could win.