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Reply #160: That is a fact. Obama has lost, nationally, every racial group except his own [View All]

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
jackson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-08-08 11:02 PM
Response to Reply #150
160. That is a fact. Obama has lost, nationally, every racial group except his own
Herman tried to explain this to Obamites but they mass alerted him to death. In the Dem primaries blacks are 20% of the vote. Obama wins that group 85-15/90-10. That comes out to 17-3. He doesn't need to win the rest. He only needs to keep Clinton's margins down enough to allow his 14 point cushion from blacks to secure him the win. The problem is in the general election blacks are 10% of the electorate. What will Obama do then? Where does he make up the lost ground? If general election demographics applied to the primaries Obama would be losing because he loses whites, Latinos, Asians, and Native Americans. His narrow popular vote margin comes from 85/90% black support. Superdelegates will be aware of this and the fact the GE's demographics are different. This is why Obama has to do decent with whites in Pennsylvania, and to a lesser extent later in Indiana, North Carolina, Kentucky, and West Virginia. If he does poorly with whites in all these states, along with Ohio a narrative may begin to emerge...
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