Reply #8: McCain's poll numbers are looking twice as strong as the truly are

[C_U_L8R]

Or put it this way, the Democratic numbers are split between two candidates
and until there is a true one-to-one matchup, there's no way to get an honest read
on how McCain will do or not do (regardless of which Dem). But if primary numbers
are any indication (new voters, base turnout, and overall enthusiasm), then McCain is fucked.