Reply #1: But then: " ComRes show collapse in Conservative support"

[muriel_volestrangler]

ComRes has a new poll in tomorrow’s Independent with, for want of a better description, frankly odd results. The topline figures with changes from ComRes’s last poll are CON 30%(-10), LAB 22%(+1), LDEM 18%(nc).

These results are clearly grossly out of line with other companies - why? The reason isn’t a change in opinion, this poll was conducted at exactly the same time as MORI’s poll. Over at Political Betting Mike Smithson is focusing on ComRes’s past vote weighting, which has shifted significantly in Labour’s favour this month. Unlike Populus and ICM, whose political weightings are practically static from month to month - thus fulfilling the purpose of ensuring that the political make up of each month’s sample is stable - ComRes’s seem to change from one month to the next.

http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/2159

:shrug: I think the outrage felt by people about expenses varies a lot, both between people and day, as one politician or another takes their place in the stocks.

Which all makes the European/county elections on Thursday a huge lottery, possibly. It'll be interesting to see if the Telegraph keeps concentrating on individual cases right up to the poll.