Reply #30: Polls were pretty good in 2004.

[tritsofme]

Going into election day most showed Bush with a small edge.

In 2000 the final polls showed it would be a nail biter, and it was.

Polls in 2006 were generally pretty good.

When you have turnout explode like it did in NH, its much harder to have a reliable likely voter model. That probably explains the NH polling disaster more than anything.