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Reply #15: Well because 43 women and 56 men already said they voted for Kerry and .. [View All]

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passy Donating Member (780 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-06-05 02:14 PM
Response to Reply #14
15. Well because 43 women and 56 men already said they voted for Kerry and ..
Edited on Fri May-06-05 02:15 PM by passy
were then removed.
In the 13047 poll around 3804 women had voted for Kerry. (13047x54%x54%)
In the 13660 poll around 3761 women had voted for Kerry. (13660x54%x51%)
That means that 43 women who had voted for Kerry were removed from the final poll.
In the 13047 poll around 2820 men had voted for Kerry. (13047x46%x47%)
In the 13660 poll around 2764 men had voted for Kerry. (13660x46%x44%)
That means that 56 women who had voted for Kerry were removed from the final poll.
Altogether 99 persons voting for Kerry were removed from the final group used for the poll of 13660.
That also means that an extra 712 * voters were added to the final poll numbers.
It doesn't make sense if all of the people in the group of 13047 are also supposed to be in the group of 13660.
Maybe I'm just getting confused with the methods used for re-weighting.
Do you interview 20000 people and then use only some of them to weigh the poll. And then if you have to re-weigh it you use other people that you didn't use before. Like you include more Southern voters, 30-44 year old voters, more conservatives and more returning * voters?
Do you remove the ones you already have included though, I think that that is my question?
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