Reply #9: Define Dem Share

[Bill Bored]

In NY elections, a candidate's share of the vote is not necessarily the same as the party's share. If you don't understand why, then you don't know much about NY elections.

If you do understand why, then the difference in Dem Party share between election day and absentee voting can be easily explained if most of the third-party cross-endorsement voting for Kerry took place on election day. Since the third parties such as the WFP do a lot of work to get out the vote, that's quite possible. Otherwise, it's always possible that absentee voters vote differently than poll-site voters. In any case, the absentees are counted by computers in NYC and some counties; I would not put much faith in an unaudited software-based vote count! Apparently you do, but only because it conforms with your exit poll stuff.

Either way, I don't like having to deal with explanations based solely on demographics, even if they are valid, because they do not address the central point: that vote switching cannot take place on lever voting machines during elections, as your exit polls seem to be implying.

Simple math can tell you how many machines would have to have been hacked to account for the NY exit poll discrepancy, and will show it was not possible. Why don't you just do that math instead of making weaker arguments about polls and demographics?