Reply #12: I sincerely doubt it

[DFW]

The only upside for Cheneybush would be to reinforce their
party as the war party, and somehow try to convince the country
that the USA at war needs Republicans, never mind that they
started the war for that very purpose.

But Republicans tend to act in a cowardly fashion when it comes
to fighting. They do not intentionally shoot at people that they
know will shoot back (Iraq was the biggest miscalculation in
their history--they prefer "successes" like Grenada and Panama).
Iran will shoot back and have their ex-pats and/or surrogates
attack everything and anything that resembles an American or
an American interest. Our allies will not touch this one. They
will consider us radioactive, and keep an appropriate distance.

The Iranians would have to successfully conduct a full-blown test
of a nuclear warhead to give Cheneybush even the slightest hint
of a pretext for an attack, and I don't think AhmadiNejad is stupid
enough to do so, no matter how many virgins he thinks Allah will
reward him with. I see him as somewhat like Cheneybush--willing to
send others to their deaths, but not risk it himself--although with
a far lower threshold, so it would not be wise to back him into what
he perceives as a corner he can't get out of. He may not be eager to
ravish his virgins prematurely, but he definitely believes that they
are there.