Reply #3: It's an opinion with as much validity as most

[tkmorris]

How accurate is it? I don't know. Neither do you I surmise. But then, why does that post from the Oil Drum carry any less weight than say, anything you have ever posted at DU?

The question raised in the OP is does it ring true to you? Given that the only things laid out in the post are 1) The portion of the well beneath the sea floor is likely deteriorating, in part due to the sheer volume and pressure of the oil spewing from it, 2) We are barely halfway into the event, assuming that it will continue AT LEAST until the relief well(s) can be completed, and 3) the damage caused by all of this is massive and getting worse, what DOESN'T sound true to you? I honestly see nothing in the slightest controversial about any of those statements, and frankly wonder what motivates you to question them.

Edited to add: It would seem that the most controversial portion of the post is the poster's conclusion that the pipe beneath the sea floor will collapse and fail before the relief wells are completed. If you believe that is incorrect would you please state your reasons for believing so? As I said, I think it is as valid an opinion as any other. Perhaps true, perhaps not, I am unworthy to judge it. Are you?