House Dems Poised To Defy History

[babylonsister]

Dems Poised To Defy History With Big Gains In House
By Eric Kleefeld - April 9, 2008, 4:58PM


Yesterday we brought you our roundup of the Senate races, showing that the Democrats are poised to expand their majority in that chamber. Now we've taken a look at the overall picture for the House.

The verdict? More or less the same — Dems are poised for major gains.

Democrats have only 17-27 House seats at any real risk.

By contrast, the GOP is going to have to defend between 25-33 seats.

Just as we did yesterday, we examined the ratings compiled by non-partisan sources, such as Larry Sabato, Charlie Cook and CQ.

Viewed as a whole, the outlook is pretty amazing. While history has taught us that a party that wins a "wave" election (as the Dems did in 2006) is poised for some losses two years later, we judge that Dems are in a position to expand their majority by anywhere from five to 20 seats.

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http://tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com/2008/04/house_post.php