Your post, #28:
North Korea will call any U.S. bluff.
And if the Korean war restarts, the North Korean regime will move in and take over most of South Korea in just a few weeks.
The American right-wing will than call for nukes to be used in order to stop the North Korean invasion.
You are predicting an unstoppable, except by nukes, victory of NK over SK and the US. Actually, you are completely omitting any SK forces.
So in my post #32, I posted some information about the forces. You can go here to find the balance of forces:
http://www.globalsecurity.org/index.htmlI leave it to you to navigate around the site. You will find that the overwhelming majority of NK equipment is very old. I listed the types and numbers of aircraft.
The invention, by the US a few years ago of the Small Diameter Bomb, and of the SDB2, is revolutionizing American major war tactics. You can learn more about it here:
http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/systems/munitions/sdb.htmOther of my comments are basic common sense to anyone who has a beginning knowledge of military logistics. Based on the extreme imbalance of the Air Forces, it is easy to predict with extreme certainty that ROK/US forces will quickly achieve absolute air dominance, both night and day. With out protection from air attack NK will not be able to move supplies to their front.
You responded in your post #34 with:
Is that pretty much how it went down in 1950 with the vastly superior U.S. forces?In that post you showed your ignorance of US forces in 1950 and of how the war progressed.
You were corrected by Lurks Often #35 and myself #36, and Zynx #41 and proteus_lives #44.
You quoted, #38, Gen. Schwartz. Such a lopsided analysis is what Generals do when they want a bigger budget. They emphasis the enemy's strength and ignore his glaring weaknesses while ignoring their own strengths. That you would take such a laughable analysis as a total summary shows how very little you know about military capabilities.
Then, in #46 with:
The don't need China. They'll sweep the U.S. out of south Korea in a few weeks at most unlessYou made that statement after I had posted about the balance of forces. You completely ignored the items I pointed out.
My comments about the NK training are based on their suck-ass economy. They are so broke that they lost about 10% of their population to starvation a few years ago. Other here have commented on the starvation in NK.
http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2009/11/02/091102fa_fact_demick A country that can't feed itself can't train soldiers either. Further, since they are an extreme Stalinist state, their military will suffer the same problems the Red Army had, only more so. I will have to refer you to an old-fashioned book for that.
Inside the Soviet Army by Viktor Suvorov.
In post #49 I pointed out more of NK weaknesses and of ROK/US strengths.
In your post #51 you ignored the items I pointed out and tried to shift the conversation to Vietnam, Iraq, and accused me of being RW. So anybody who isn't in lockstep with you is RW?
I have stayed on topic and declined to chase any of the distractions that you have tried to post. We are talking about what will happen if Kim decides to attack. That is the topic.
Warhawk? I have seen some combat and have lost friends in combat. Those of us who have seen the elephant know that it isn't glory. We would much prefer peace. Prefering peace does not mean that I have to be blind to genuine balance of forces.
That you continue to insist that the North will be able to wipe out the ROK/US forces in a few weeks, even though you have been shown severe weakness in their military and very strong strengths in ours strongly suggests that you want the North to win.
If you want to discuss military strengths, begin with their Air Force as compared to the ROK/US Air Force. Remember that the side that dominates the air can cut the supply lines of the other side. Troops without supplies become helpless. If NK loses the air war, then after their initial surge, they lose the war.