Reply #28: It's not impossible to win as an Independent

[jeanpalmer]

Ross Perot almost did it in '92. In fact, he had the thing won until he imploded over the story about the Bush Republicans sabotaging his daughter's wedding.

All it takes is someone high profile (Perot was high profile, so is Trump), someone perceived as a successful businessman (both Perot and Trump), someone with the "right" issues (Perot had deficit spending, the budget, running the government like a business, NAFTA; Trump has NAFTA and other trade deals, big budget deficits, high oil prices, high unemployment and outsourcing, and the war in Afghanistan), and someone with money. All those issues are going to play in Trump's favor. No other candidate is on the right side of these issues.

The things holding Trump back now are he hasn't yet put together a team that can sell him and his ideas have to be refined.

But if gas prices keep going up, unemployment is still high, the war is still going on, trade deals haven't been re-negotiated, and the budget deficit is still $trillion + and nothing will have been done about it (and nothing will be done), don't underestimate Trump.