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Judi Lynn Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-29-07 02:34 PM
Original message
Leftist pulls ahead in Guatemala election poll
Source: Reuters

Leftist pulls ahead in Guatemala election poll
Mon Oct 29, 2007 12:37pm EDT

powered by SphereGUATEMALA CITY, Oct 29 (Reuters) - Center-left candidate Alvaro Colom has a small lead over a right-wing retired general before Guatemala's presidential election on Sunday, pointing to a tight finish in the violence-torn race, a new poll showed on Monday.

Colom had 39.4 percent support and Gen. Otto Perez Molina, a former head of military intelligence during Guatemala's long civil war, trailed with 35.1 percent in El Periodico newspaper's opinion poll.

Both candidates in the runoff election have spent millions of dollars in a closely fought race marred by violence. Over 50 activists and party members have been killed since campaigning began last year.

Perez Molina commanded troops in one of Guatemala's most violent areas during a 1960-96 civil war but he also helped negotiate peace agreements. He had edged ahead of Colom in recent polls with tough promises to use the army to clamp down on crime in the troubled Central American nation.

Read more: http://www.reuters.com/article/latestCrisis/idUSN29287099
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LiberalLovinLug Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-29-07 05:06 PM
Response to Original message
1. Good Luck!
But Alvaro is going to have to get an overwhelming majority that can beat the reich wing. I'm sure that the General is looking to the good ole US of A for inspiration on how to steal elections. Probably has a few GOP "specialists" down there to help him out.
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Peace Patriot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-30-07 04:26 AM
Response to Original message
2. While it's not quite as exciting as elections in South America, where the winners
have been real leftists, who read Noam Chomsky (Hugo Chavez/Venezuela), or campaign with a wreath of coca leaves around their neck in opposition to the US/Bush "war on drugs" (Evo Morales/Bolivia), or take off their belts and crack them like a whip on stage, as an example of what they will do to corrupt rightwingers (Rafael Correa/Ecuador)(--a pun on his name which means "belt"), and who have, collectively---along with others, such as the Kirchners in Argentina--are transforming the political landscape, with revolutionary social justice and regional independence platforms, still, the election in Guatemala is very, very important.

No Latin American country has taken such a hit of U.S.-supported violence--and that's saying something, in a region where the U.S. routinely supports and commits atrocities. The rightwing violence in Guatemala has been so widespread and heinous--200,000 Mayan villagers slaughtered in the 1980s, with Reagan's complicity--that it actually impacts the voter base. Had those men, women and children lived, and had children, they would be a significant pool of voters and activists for social justice candidates. But they're all dead, and any children they may have had do not exist. That's a Bushite dream, I guess--not just suppressing votes, not just purging leftist voters from the voting rolls, not just switching and 'disappearing' votes with their new electronic gadgetry, but 'disappearing' the voters themselves.

But I digress. Colom vs. Molina seems like Bill Clinton vs. George Jr., when it should be Bill Clinton vs., say, Hugo Chavez. The country NEEDS a Hugo Chavez, or Evo Morales, or Rafael Correa, to throw off U.S. domination, clean out the rightwing corruption, evict the World Bank and the murderous, phony U.S. "war on drugs," and force global corporate predators to pay taxes, respect workers' rights, stop destroying the environment, or get the fuck out of their country.

The whole thing is much too skewed to the right, as it is here. Colom seems to be a Clintonite "free trader." We have seen what "free trade" does to third world countries (not to mention what it's doing to this "first world" country!). It might make a few people rich for a while, but eventually it "sinks all boats." It kills local agriculture (U.S. ag dumps cheap powdered milk on the market, and soon there are no more local diary farmers); it kills local culture with corporate 'monoculture' imports; it kills local industry of every kind; small farmers, driven off their land, become urban shantytown poor, while city services, education and other helps to the poor decline, and all costs of living increase, as everything--water, electricity, transportation--is privatized; the country ends up an indentured slave to World Bank loan sharks.

I don't know much at all about Colom's platform. But the hints in this Reuters article (and other things I've read) point to Clintonism. ("Analysts say the two candidates have very similar market-friendly economic policies." --Reuters) This is not a good choice for Guatemala, which is already a basketcase of a country, due to CAFTA, the U.S./Bush "war on drugs"--vast drugs and weapons trafficking is the inevitable result of the "war on drugs"--and past mauling by the Reaganites and their criminal fascist allies. Guatemala needs radical change. Mayan activist (and Nobel Peace Prize winner) Rigoberta Menchu was a candidate for president, but didn't do very well. I think she got eliminated in the first round (which Colom won, but not by a big enough margin to prevent this runoff).

Molina certainly is a fascist, and likely has blood on his hands as well. As in Colombia, blood-soaked fascists get rehabilitated, and keep coming back, like some kind of vampire monster who refuses to die.

Colom vs. Molina seems like much too narrow a spectrum of "choice"--a choice of two U.S./global corporate predator-friendly policies, with the rules of the political game stacked in favor of those who can raise millions of dollars for campaigning--and those who can stay alive. The atmosphere created by 50 political assassinations can't be good for poor and leftist voters--and for campaign activists, poll watchers, poll workers and election officials. Colom favors expanding education and health care. Maybe that's as far as he can go, without getting killed.

And you have to wonder if Bushite black ops are involved. With virtually the entire continent of South America in leftist revolt against both Clintonism and Bushitism, Guatemala (one of the "buffer states" between the U.S. and that peaceful, democratic revolution) has to be kept in line--that is, kept in turmoil, kept in CAFTA, kept as a client state for "war on drugs" looting of U.S. taxpayers, kept poor and kept subservient, like Mexico and Honduras. We know the Bushites are drug traffickers. Are they calling the hits in Guatemala? Or have they just created such a fucking mess--as in Iraq--that they don't have to call the hits. Their thugs know what to do. Or they don't care WHO gets hit, as long as it's violent and chaotic enough for the rightwing to scaremonger the voters and/or just outright steal the election.

One other thing: Can we trust this poll at all? Is El Periodico (newspaper that did the poll) a typical corporate monopoly news rag? Is Colom just edging ahead, or is he way ahead? And what kind of field did he run in, in the first round? Why didn't he pick up more support after winning the first round? Fractured left? Or unreliable polls? (I'm finding it hard to believe that half the population of Guatemala supports the fascist Molina, when the poor vastly outnumber the rich and the middle class.)
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Judi Lynn Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-30-07 05:19 AM
Response to Reply #2
3. Here's an article from September which touches on some points about the right-wing
Edited on Tue Oct-30-07 05:22 AM by Judi Lynn
power in Guatemala:
A Mountain to Climb in Guatemala
by Paul Haste / September 17th, 2007

Álvaro Colom, the centre left candidate of the Unidad Nacional de la Esperanza (UNE — National Unity of Hope) party, won the first round of Guatemala’s presidential elections on Sunday. However, instead of raising hopes that this result might herald the first progressive president since Jacobo Árbenz was overthrown in a US backed coup in 1954, it has instead shown how difficult it is for the left to make advances in this Central American republic.

Colom won almost a million votes (28%) to defeat the principal rightwing candidate, military general Otto Pérez Molina, who took 750,000 votes (23%). The obvious concern amongst Colom’s supporters is that those who voted for other rightwing parties in this first round will now transfer their votes to Pérez Molina in the run-off election due to take place on 4 November.
(snip)

Even the capital, La Ciudad de Guatemala, is controlled by the right, contrary to the trend of capital cities in Latin America being won by the radical left recently. In fact, former rightist president Álvaro Arzú, who has been the capital’s mayor for the last four years, was easily reelected on 9 September, and in the presidential election, Pérez Molina gained more votes in the city than Colom and all the other left parties put together.

‘The left has been excluded from participation in politics through repression and violence,’ says writer Carolina Escobar Sarti, ‘but also, the left has not been as clear with radical, progressive policies as the left in México, nor has it organised in the street or in the barrios with an everyday, on the ground presence as the FMLN has done in El Salvador.’

The experience of the presidential campaign seems to bear out this assessment. More than 50 candidates and campaign workers have been assassinated, including 15 members of Colom’s UNE, and also seven supporters of the Nobel Peace Prize winner, Rigoberta Menchú, who was the first indigenous Mayan in Guatemala’s history to stand as a presidential candidate.
(snip)
(snip/...)
http://www.dissidentvoice.org/2007/09/a-mountain-to-climb-in-guatemala/

Here's something almost too creepy for words, from this same article, which might begin to address anyone's questions about what the hell has happened here:
There are no elections for governors, senators, or state representatives as Guatemala has neither an upper house nor state legislatures, and governors are appointed by the president. Representatives in the national Congress rely heavily on traditional patronage or violence to secure their positions, and the assassinations of leftist and indigenous activists serve to deter opposition.
Oh, God.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Don't forget mass murdering/death squad loving/Reagan friend/dictator Efraín Ríos Montt's daughter, Zury, a Guatemalan Congresswoman is the blushing bride of U.S. Republican Congressman Jerry Weller, a marriage made in right-wing "heaven."Zury Mayté Ríos Montt Sosa de Weller (b. January 1968) is a Guatemalan politician, affiliated with the Guatemalan Republican Front (FRG) political party. She is currently serving her third term in Congress, where she serves as Chair of the Foreign Relations Committee. She has also served on the Steering Committee of the Inter-Parliamentary Union (IPU) and was the Chair of the IPU's Latin American Group where she was elected unanimously by parliamentarians from the Latin American nations.

Zury Ríos was re-elected for a fourth congressional term (2008–12) in the 9 September 2007 general election.

As the daughter and staunch supporter of former military dictator and FRG founder Efraín Ríos Montt – who ordered numerous massacres of indigenous Guatemalans as the leader of the three-man junta that came to power by military coup in 1982, <1> and to whom the U.S. State Department attributes some 200,000 civilian deaths <2> – Zury Ríos is a controversial figure both at home and abroad.
(snip/...)http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zury_R%C3%ADos_Montt

Illinois Republican Jerry Weller is one of the most powerful men in Congress when it comes to Latin America. His wife is the most powerful woman in Guatemala’s controversial FRG party.
By Frank Smyth
August 25, 2006

JERRY WELLER WAS running for his sixth term as congressman from Illinois’ 11th District in July 2004 when he announced that he was engaged to Zury Rios Sosa, an outspoken third-term legislator in Guatemala’s congress and the daughter of former dictator General Efrain Rios Montt. “I am thrilled to have found my best friend and soulmate,” Weller stated in a press release. “Our love knows no boundaries.” In the same release Sosa said, “With Jerry, I am starting an eternal springtime. I admire his character, his commitment to his responsibilities, and his honesty.”

More:
http://www.chicagoreader.com/features/stories/jerryweller/



Guatemalan citizens reburying the remains of their loved ones
murdered in a massacre in 1982, in Xiquin Sanahi, Comalapa,
Guatemala, by Efraín Ríos Montt's forces.

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