ARG: Hillary Barely Ahead Of Obama In NH, Before Iowa Caucus Was Held

[ccpup]

Source: TPM and ARG

American Research Group has their first daily tracking poll out for New Hampshire, composed of data collected before the Iowa Caucus — thus making it an effective benchmark for measuring the changes in days to come. Here are the numbers, as compared to their previous poll from last week:

Democrats:
Clinton 35% (+4)
Obama 31% (+4)
Edwards 15% (-6)
Richardson 5% (+0)

Republicans:
McCain 35% (+5)
Romney 25% (-5)
Huckabee 12% (+1)
Paul 9% (+2)
Giuliani 8% (-1)

ARG's final Iowa poll was amazingly off the mark, but their real specialty is polling in New Hampshire, where they are based. So this one is probably worth taking seriously, with their solid record in local elections.


Read more: http://tpmelectioncentral.com/2008/01/arg_hillary_barely_ahead_of_obama_in_nh_before_iowa_caucus_was_held.php

[KoKo]

1. There are "Conspiracy Rumors" on the Net that some corrupt Voting Co. takes the Iowa Caucus Vote

and a "Busco Co." in Orlando, Florida reports the Tally. But, that's probably just heresay that the vote was rigged for the Caucus.

In my mind I figured it was lots of lovely, gray haired ladies who just reported the vote to Dem Headquarters. The "conspiracy article" says they call it into a central location which then sends it to a "Central Tabulator" down in Florida.

I think that's just a conspiracy theory, though. :shrug:

[Alexander]

2. People claimed Diebold rigged Iowa for Kerry in '04, too.

The DU archives are full of such posts.

It's funny how the Hillary supporters quickly jump from one excuse to another - Iowa doesn't matter, Republicans rigged it for Obama, he won only because he's a "rock star", the Clintons planned on this happening, etc.

Apparently a good chunk of DU can't accept that Obama won fair and square by a substantial number of votes.

[Teaser]

4. How the fuck would Diebold rig a caucus?

Caucuses are weird ass things. Do they even use maghines to tally the votes at all? I thoughtit basically amounted to you sitting at the table of the team you were going to caucus with.

[MethuenProgressive]

3. Pirate poll?

Arrrg, matey?