Bush fights 'in the red' menace
The President has pushed economic woes like the huge US deficit into the background, but they could yet defeat him, says Heather Stewart
Sunday September 19, 2004
The Observer
For Bush's dad, it was 'the economy, stupid': Bill Clinton swept into the White House 12 years ago on a wave of pessimism about the 'jobless recovery' from the early 1990s recession, confirming the received wisdom that what really matters on polling day is whether voters think the man in Washington has been good for their pockets.
Now Bush Junior is heading into an election with the worst jobs record of any President since the Great Depression: 900,000 fewer people are in work than when he came to power at the beginning of 2001. The Washington think-tank the Economic Policy Institute has totted up the change in the unemployment rate since the turn of the economic cycle, and says job creation has been weaker than after any recession since the Second World War.
Not only that, but Bush has turned the chunky $236 billion budget surplus Clinton left behind into a record $422bn deficit. The cross-party Congressional Budget Office reckons that if policy stays as it is, the government will be in the red every year until 2014, running up a whopping cumulative deficit of $2.3 trillion.
Even Alan Greenspan, chairman of the Federal Reserve and cheerleader-in-chief for the US economy, says the country's long-term budget position is 'troubling'.
'With the baby boomers starting to retire in a few years and health spending continuing to soar, our budget position will almost surely deteriorate substantially in coming years if current policies remain in place.'
http://www.guardian.co.uk/uselections2004/story/0,13918,1307694,00.html