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Did Obama "Supporters" Lie to pollsters?

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antiimperialist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 01:48 AM
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Did Obama "Supporters" Lie to pollsters?
slate Magazine

...One theory is that voters contacted by pollsters are more likely to say they support a black candidate running against a white candidate out of desire to seem progressive. Social psychologists called this “social desirability” – the urge to act in ways that one believes his or her environment finds appropriate.

In a February 2007 article, the Pew Research Center noted that this effect was decidedly less pronounced in 2006. While black candidates lost four of five statewide races against white opponents, the polling tended to reflect this. “Taken together,” it states, “the accuracy of the polling in these five biracial elections suggests that the problems that bedeviled polling in the 1980s and early 1990s may no longer be so serious.”

http://slate.com/blogs/blogs/trailhead/archive/2008/01/08/did-n-h-voters-lie-about-supporting-obama.aspx
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Incitatus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 01:50 AM
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1. n
Edited on Wed Jan-09-08 01:51 AM by Incitatus
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featherman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 01:52 AM
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2. Later data on the Bradley Effect" - thanks for the info
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magatte Donating Member (323 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 05:29 AM
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3. Or, maybe Hillary supporters were too ashamed to admit they voted for her...
And consequently didn't answer any exit polls but went straight home...
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Demeter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 07:01 AM
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4. While NH Primary is More Representative than Iowa Caucus
They are both still unrepresentative of the nation.
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annabanana Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 07:27 AM
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5. All this post-election naval gazing is just so much bs
There is one explanation. It's the same one as in 2000 & 2004

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Maribelle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 08:25 AM
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6. Republicans registered as Undeclared lied
Edited on Wed Jan-09-08 08:27 AM by Maribelle
This issue does not seem to be addressed, as the MSM and even so called democrats refuse to even approach the subject of republican corruption in NH.

What appears to have happened yesterday is that those corrupt republicans registered as UNDECLARED chose to vote for McCain because they were afraid Romney would win in NH.

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bemildred Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 09:34 AM
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7. Polls are horseshit. They have always been horseshit. nt
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