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The U.S Financial System, the Debt Bubble & the Cancer of Excessive Deregulation

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Joanne98 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-21-08 03:47 PM
Original message
The U.S Financial System, the Debt Bubble & the Cancer of Excessive Deregulation

It’s…poetic justice, in that the people that brewed this toxic Kool-Aid found themselves drinking a lot of it in the end.”

Warren Buffett, American investor

“By a continuing process of inflation, government can confiscate, secretly and unobserved, an important part of the wealth of their citizens.”

John Maynard Keynes (1883-1946)

“New money that enters the economy does not affect all economic actors equally nor does new money influence all economic actors at the same time. Newly created money must enter into the economy at a specific point. Generally this monetary injection comes via credit expansion through the banking sector. Those who receive this new money first benefit at the expense of those who receive the money only after it has snaked through the economy and prices have had a chance to adjust.”

Friedrich A. Hayek (1899-1992), Austrian economist

When Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke says the economic situation is worsening, you’d better believe him. In fact, the U.S. credit markets are collapsing under our very eyes, and there is no end in sight as to when this will stop, let alone reverse itself. 1- Leading economic indicators for the U.S. economy are falling; 2- Consumer confidence sentiment is falling as mortgage equity withdrawals are drying up; 3-employment numbers are falling; 4- the January 2008 report on the U.S. service economy indicates that it contracted early in the year for the first time in 58 months; 5- the number of new jobless claims is still dangerously high; 6- The housing crisis is getting up steam; banks have to place larger and larger subprime losses on their balance sheets, thus undermining their capital bases and bringing many of them to the brink of insolvency; 7- the credit-ratings agencies are under siege; 8- bond guarantee insurance companies are in the process of loosing their triple-A ratings and some are on the brink of bankruptcy; 9- the $2.6 trillion municipal bond market is about to take a nose dive, if and when the bond insurers do not pull it through; 10- the leveraged corporate loan market is in disarray; 11- the more than a trillion dollar market for mortgage- and debt-backed securities could collapse completely if the largest American mortgage insurers continue to suffer crippling losses; 12- large hedge funds are losing money on a high scale and they are suffering from a run on their assets; 13- in the U.S., total debt as a percentage of GDP is at more than 300 percent, a record level (N.B.: in 1980, it was 125 percent!); 14- and, finally, the worldwide hundreds-of- trillion dollar derivatives market could implode anytime, if too many financial institutions go under during the coming months, as most of these transactions are inter-institution trades.

There are a few positive straws in the wind,
http://dandelionsalad.wordpress.com/2008/02/20/the-us-financial-system-the-debt-bubble-the-cancer-of-excessive-deregulation/
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Warpy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-21-08 06:37 PM
Response to Original message
1. People have been cautioning us about the derivatives market
for at least 20 years that I can remember. This is all pure funny money, a casino on steroids where intrinsically worthless paper is traded back and forth to generate hundreds of trillions of paper "worth." Its collapse will take banks, brokerages, insurance companies, pensions, and a lot of other institutional investors along with it.

This is where the real crash is coming from, right after the consumer credit dries up and financiers realize all that consumer debt is uncollectable, too. Unemployment will be sky high due to the end of the consumer feeding frenzy and there will be absolutely no money around for most of us. Even if we still have jobs, we'll be able to eat barely enough to save our lives while we spend everything else to service our debt.

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Skittles Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-22-08 01:14 AM
Response to Reply #1
5. you sound in the know, Warpy
perhaps you can post your own thread about it. Damn, it surely is scary. :o
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RuleOfNah Donating Member (603 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-21-08 07:24 PM
Response to Original message
2. the leveraged corporate loan market is in disarray
My feeling is that there is a lot of stored energy in that market. Imagine a tornado throwing sky scrapers around...
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truedelphi Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-21-08 09:02 PM
Response to Original message
3. I recommend that everyone take time to read AikidoSoul's journal here on DU
Edited on Thu Feb-21-08 09:04 PM by truedelphi
AikidoSoul has a journal posting detailing how the monetary supply was leveraged in the Honduras back in the 1980's and how it allowed the rich to totally sell out the poor.

You have to scroll down several of the other topics AS has posted till you come to the one on cocaine. That's the one with the monetary discussion.

It seems like that is what will be happening here.

All of this reminds me of how the big shots at Enron were saying, "C'mon in the water is great and all." Meanwhile they were pulling their own money out of Enron.
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FirstLight Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-21-08 10:05 PM
Response to Original message
4. I used to think that I was a freak because I had no credit...
my main goal was to get on my feet financially so I could buy a house someday, pay off my student loan, and have a "normal" life like my sister's family (they have lots of credit, and can go shopping without having to pay a cent for months, it seems)

I realize now that being 'debt free' like them would not be such a good idea. I still wish I wasn't so damn dirt poor...but at least I don't own anything that can be reposessed... and my student loans are paid down by the tax refund that they jack from me every year. I may be scraping change for gas in the car some days, and we may subsist on PB&J sometimes... but at least I know what's really mine when I look in my wallet..

At this rate, if I start growing my own food in the yard, I may actually be "ahead" when it all comes crashing down.
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trthnd4jstc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-22-08 01:48 AM
Response to Original message
6. I have an Idea how to restore the Value of our Dollar.
Around where I live is a retired professor who has invented a new type of currency, Time Money: http://www.siue.edu/~rblain/timemony.htm
Imagine a Dollar that has a value based on labor, and not through exploitation, or scams. A currency that allows those who work harder than others to excell, a currency that allows the rich to be those that truly work more than the others. Considering that 5/6 of the Wealthy are "Trust Fund Kids" Time Money would make their power meaningless. They would have to put aside their lives of leisure, because their money would be meaningless. Only us who do the real work would have real money. Just food for thought.
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