LAT: CAMPAIGN '08
Clinton battles Obama's momentum
Analysts agree the New York senator must win the Texas and Ohio primaries Tuesday to continue her campaign.
By Mark Z. Barabak and Michael Finnegan, Los Angeles Times Staff Writers
March 2, 2008
SAN ANTONIO, TEXAS -- Hillary Rodham Clinton, once seen as a lock for the Democratic nomination, battled Saturday into possibly the last weekend of her presidential campaign, struggling to reverse a tide of money and momentum that has turned dramatically toward Barack Obama.
The New York senator stormed across Texas, questioning Obama's readiness to lead, particularly on national security issues. "You are, in effect, hiring the next president," Clinton told supporters at a rally at a San Antonio high school. "What you've got to decide is: Who do you want to hire?"...
In a campaign that has frequently defied expectations, a consensus emerged as the candidates caromed across the country: Clinton must win Texas and Ohio to have any serious hope of sustaining her bid to become the nation's first female president. A split decision would not suffice, analysts said, and winning narrowly may not help.
"We're reaching a point where -- not all voters, but lots of voters -- are starting to feel it's time for the party to coalesce around a candidate," said Geoffrey D. Garin, a veteran Democratic pollster who is nonaligned in the contest. "The Clinton campaign has to have a compelling and persuasive reason to go on. . . . She's got to come out of Tuesday with people believing that she has a realistic path to the nomination."
The political math seems to work against the former front-runner. Obama has opened a small-but-growing lead of delegates to the Democratic National Convention. Unless Clinton starts winning big -- and polling in Texas and Ohio suggests that will be difficult -- she could have a tough time overtaking Obama....After racking up 11 straight victories, Obama has two things going for him as he vies to become the nation's first African American president: the proportional awarding of delegates -- which means he can keep adding to his number even if he loses the popular vote to Clinton -- and the campaign calendar.
After Tuesday, the race shifts to Wyoming, which holds caucuses Saturday. Obama has posted some of his biggest victory margins in caucus states. Then comes Mississippi, on March 11, with a large black electorate; Obama is expected to win in a landslide, further padding his delegate total....
http://www.latimes.com/news/politics/la-na-campaign2mar02,0,1785725.story