The End Game ApproachesWe're about done here folks.
By "done", I mean done with the government's ability to screw around with markets, game the outcome and hide the sausage, if you will, at least to any sort of positive effect.
Today we heard from The Fed that their threatened program to start buying the long end of the Treasury curve will begin tomorrow:
That was, without a doubt, prompted by this:
Notice the highlighted area.
The big drop (this is the 10 year Treasury rate) was when Ben made his announcement. But over the last few days the rate has crept back upward, erasing about half of the drop. While this is expected behavior (higher rates) when the stock market is on a tear (like yesterday) as people sell Treasuries to buy stocks, both Friday and today the market was down - but the Treasury market was also being sold.
That's not supposed to happen, but it did. It denotes selling - on a day when people should have been moving into Treasuries, not out of them. This compelled Ben to stomp on this trend lest he be seen as a toothless tiger, and that just won't do for Sir FedsALot.
Who's selling into Ben's "expectations" and producing this? Good question. I don't know, but Ben does - he has real-time Fedwire information that he doesn't release. I'm willing to bet it is NOT domestic holders, and is likely foreigners - including perhaps, central banks and their minions (Heeeeelllloooo China!)
This "acceleration" is a major problem, as it appears that Ben is losing control - rapidly. If foreigners are selling into the market we are literally nothing more than market recognition away from Armageddon in the bond market.
MORE:
http://www.tickerforum.org/cgi-ticker/akcs-www?post=88591&findnew#new