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Eurozone Crisis at Point of Maximum Danger, Great Depression II?

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Crewleader Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-22-10 08:05 AM
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Eurozone Crisis at Point of Maximum Danger, Great Depression II?

By: Mike_Whitney



Economics May 19th, 2010

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDebt woes in Greece have sent bond yields soaring and increased the prospect of sovereign default. A restructuring of Greek debt will deal a blow to lenders in Germany and France that are insufficiently capitalized to manage the losses. Finance ministers, EU heads-of-state and the European Central Bank (ECB) have responded forcefully to try to avert another banking meltdown that could plunge the world back into recession.

They have created a nearly-$1 trillion European Stabilization Fund (ESF) to calm markets and ward-off speculators. But the contagion has already spread beyond Greece to Spain, Portugal and Italy where leaders have started to aggressively cut public spending and initiate austerity programs. Belt-tightening in the Eurozone will decrease aggregate demand and threaten the fragile recovery. We are at a critical inflection point.

From American Banker:

"Bank stocks plunged last week under the theory that banking companies will take large losses in Europe. The theory is correct. Banks will get hurt," Richard Bove of Rochdale Securities LLC wrote in a research note.
Bove wrote in a separate report last week that "big American banks have a bigger stake in this drama than thought." He estimates that JPMorgan Chase has $1.4 trillion of exposure across all of Europe alone, while Citigroup Inc. has $468.4 billion.

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article19616.html
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madrchsod Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-22-10 08:50 AM
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1. ya have to admire goldman sachs and the imf.....
they have perfected disaster capitalism.

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CHIMO Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-22-10 07:30 PM
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2. Thanks For The Article
Digging into one of the references uncovered a very interesting piece. It was recorded more than a year ago.

Robert Brenner: A Marxist explanation for the current capitalist economic crisis
http://links.org.au/node/957
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Kringle Donating Member (411 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-23-10 03:50 AM
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3. the euro is doomed nt
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roamer65 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-23-10 12:26 PM
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4. I expect weaker Eurozone members eventually will get kicked out of the Euro.
Edited on Sun May-23-10 12:30 PM by roamer65
Portugal, Spain and Greece will be out. Ireland may stay if they stick to austerity measures.

The Euro will become a more northern European club, basically becoming a renamed Deutsche mark.

The Bundesbank will have it no other way.

The Brits have to be very happy the kept the pound at this point.
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