Federal fish scientists say the dramatic falloff in salmon numbers expected this year should come as no surprise, because it probably was caused by a 2005 collapse in ocean conditions that left the seas empty of food and seabirds dying.
"Nobody should be surprised by this, but everybody is," said Bill Peterson, an oceanographer with the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration in Newport.
The conditions in 2005 were brought on by unusual warmth. That delayed upwelling of nutrients from the deep ocean, so there was little to support the usual prolific marine food chain along the Oregon coast. That meant that young salmon headed to sea that year when there wasn't much for them to eat.
Biologists have detailed their views in a new memo to top NOAA officials. Salmon returns are expected to be sharply lower this year, especially in California's Sacramento River. Because Sacramento River salmon make up a large portion of the fish caught off Oregon, it's likely that salmon fishing will be severely restricted this year to protect what few of those fish remain.
EDIT
http://www.oregonlive.com/news/oregonian/index.ssf?/base/news/1204597520203190.xml&coll=7