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Carnegie Study: Climate Requires Near-zero Emissions

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environmentalist Donating Member (156 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-02-08 01:33 AM
Original message
Carnegie Study: Climate Requires Near-zero Emissions
Cross-posted from THE ENVIRONMENTALIST

Scientists at the Carnegie Institution have just completed a study that has concluded the only way to stabilize the climate is to reduce carbon emissions to a near-zero level:

In the study, to be published in Geophysical Research Letters, climate scientists Ken Caldeira and Damon Matthews used an Earth system model at the Carnegie Institution’s Department of Global Ecology to simulate the response of the Earth’s climate to different levels of carbon dioxide emission over the next 500 years. ~snip

The scientists investigated how much climate changes as a result of each individual emission of carbon dioxide, and found that each increment of emission leads to another increment of warming.<...> With emissions set to zero in the simulations, the level of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere slowly fell as carbon “sinks” such as the oceans and land vegetation absorbed the gas. Surprisingly, however, the model predicted that global temperatures would remain high for at least 500 years after carbon dioxide emissions ceased.


More at THE ENVIRONMENTALIST
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laconicsax Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-02-08 01:42 AM
Response to Original message
1. Never fear! The Dem candidates are on it!
Only by on it, I mean they've pledged to set a goal of cutting emissions to 80% below where they were in 1990. Not good enough? Well, what if I told you that they've pledged to reach that goal by 2050?

:grr:
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environmentalist Donating Member (156 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-02-08 01:47 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. I see why
there's laconic in your User ID

I think the study says we're (insert expletive deleted).

I second your :grr: and raise you a :banghead:
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diane in sf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-02-08 01:50 AM
Response to Original message
3. OK, let's go for it...
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environmentalist Donating Member (156 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-02-08 10:37 AM
Response to Reply #3
4. Sounds good to me (nt)
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hunter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-02-08 11:55 AM
Response to Original message
5. It's one of those things that should be obvious.
Why do we assume that nature will clean up after us?
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Quantess Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-02-08 01:28 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. Especially when we humans have cut down so many forests.
Nature does clean up after us somewhat, but only if we allow it to. We don't have enough trees on the planet to resorb the all carbon we're emitting.
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environmentalist Donating Member (156 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-02-08 09:46 PM
Response to Reply #6
7. The Southern Ocean
The Southern Ocean, the planet's largest carbon sink, is full. That's what's tipping it.

Here's info from last October:

http://climate.the-environmentalist.org/2008/03/everything-but-oceans-sinks.html
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