How many seats will be won this November?

[Tiggeroshii]

Poll question: How many seats will be won this November?

How many Senate and House seats do you think will be gained by the Democrats this coming election?

[terrya]

1. 6 Senate seats, 20+ House seats.

We'll get control of both houses.

[jackbourassa]

15. You guys have NO FAITH!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

AS OF RIGHT NOW...

We currently LEAD in 30 held Republican seats and are tied or within the margin of error in another 15. There are an additional 15 to 20 "vulnerable" Republican seats which have not even been polled.

We currently lead in the generic ballot by between 12% to 16%.

And you people think we'll win only 20 seats????

Can you imagine the Democrats winning the election by 12% to 16% of the vote and only holding a 5 seat majority? This is unheardof.

And don't give me any of this gerrymandering nonsense either. You realize gerrymandering doesn't create more Republican voters...all it does is it creates more solid Republican districts by WEAKENING other Republican districts. Gerrymandering may help the party in power when nothing really changes...but when you have a re-alignment type of election (which I believe this is), than it can be disasterous for the party who engineers it.

So my prediction:

Democrats win 45 to 55 seats in the House...

Democrats win 6 to 7 seats in the Senate...

Democrats take a majority of governorships, state legislatures, and Secretaries of State...

This will be a very good election for us!

[KingFlorez]

2. Six senate seats

The House is harder to gauge how many we might pickup. I do know we won't lose any House seats though.

[AlinPA]

3. Diebold, ES&S a factor. Not as many as we should, given that.

[Stinky The Clown]

5. Gee ... and here I was feeling rather bullish .....

.... maybe I'll just curl up in a fetal position and stay home that day.

Sarcasm aside, I think everyone on this board knows that is hanging over us. But thanks for the (constant) reminders.

[AlinPA]

13. We have to work our asses off to get the margins up to overcome.

[ChairmanAgnostic]

4. 5 senate seats, 17 house

Bush will be so freaked that he will quit, meaning the Darth Cheney will become the evil emperor in name as well as in fact.

[butterfly77]

6. This is what I don't understand ...

If they gerimander certain areas I thought that certain senators couldn't be defeated. Do you know how many senators have a challenger. If some don't and their people don't vote what happens then. Do most states have a challenger.

[ChairmanAgnostic]

7. senate seats are picked throughout the state. no gerrymandering.

it is the congress that is affected and afflicted.
For us to win against those kinds of odds, well, the GOP has a lot of wound licking to do soon.

[Mr_King]

8. I predict

8 Senate seats (Ohio, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Virginia, Missouri, Tennessee, Nevada, Montana) but we will probably lose New Jersey.

22 House Seats

Senator Sharrod Brown (D-OH)
Senator Bob Casey (D-PA)
Senator Sheldon Whitehouse (D-RI)
Senator Jim Webb (D-VA)
Senator Claire McCaskill (D-MO)
Senator Harold Ford (D-TN)
Senator Jack Carter (D-NV)
Senator Jon Tester (D-MT)

[Tiggeroshii]

10. I don't think Carter can poll this off...

He's been behind for quite a while in the polls and has not yet managed to get a lead. The othershowever, are very good possibilities.

[Zynx]

9. 6 Senate seats, 24-27 House seats

[NJ Democrats]

11. 5 Senate 18 House

but we loose CT in theory so Senate is 50-48-2. But I very close to adding VA to the Sen pickup and adding more House gains

[DaveinMD]

12. I say

5 Senate seats and 25 house seats.

[DFLforever]

14. 5 Senate seats - 20+ House seats

[LaPera]

16. Looks like not many here know about....

republican owned Diebold electronic voting machines and how Rove has this planned election theft for the past two years and used them in 2000, 2002, 2004 and have only gotten better at it for 2006...(just wait until 2008) They steal get sworn in and it's too late to do anything, they are in.

Dem's just don't want to believe it, until it's too late and then they are screaming on deaf ears.

[Tiggeroshii]

17. Nobody else is doing anything

So why should I? :shrug:

That's pretty mcuh the attitude a lot of us have, I think. We all know. Everybody does, even those not on DU. We just don't care. A sort of voter apathy, maybe?

[SDDEM06]

18. 5 Senate, 20 House

PA, OH, MT, TN, RI. We may lose NJ and pick up VA or MO.

I think we get 20 in the House. It would be more, but the districts have been so gerrymandered that too many seats are in "safe" territory.

[bigdarryl]

19. 35 seats is my bet the rethugs are pipe dreaming if...

they think keep saying the dem's have no plan is going to keep them in power.