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35 and 8? Did anyone hear this on National Journal today?

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Stinky The Clown Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-10-06 04:07 PM
Original message
35 and 8? Did anyone hear this on National Journal today?
Hairballz is on now. David Shuster was saying that, on a panel moderated by Tweety on National Journal this morning, the 'political experts' concluded that the Republic Party will lose 35 seats in the House and 8 in the Senate.

Did anyone here happen to catch the show?

The House I can see. How did they conclude 8 in the Senate?
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wakeme2008 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-10-06 04:10 PM
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1. Well listen to Tucker Carlson
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madinmaryland Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-10-06 04:11 PM
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2. Wow! 8 in the Senate!
That would make Lieberman if he were to win, unable to bribe the Democrats!
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Hav Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-10-06 04:11 PM
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3. .
Hm the only other really close race besides Missouri is Virginia. If both went Dem, then I guess that would be the 8?

But NJ and Tennessee are better now but still quite close as well.
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warrens Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-10-06 04:17 PM
Response to Reply #3
8. Rhode Island is the big flip
Chafee is well behind now. It was never even calculated as in play until very recently.
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speedoo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-10-06 04:12 PM
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4. Well, it could be:
Tennessee, Missouri (is that a take or a hold?), Rhode Island, N. Dakota (if that's Burns' state), Virginia, Arizona, Pennsylvania and Ohio.
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AllegroRondo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-10-06 04:21 PM
Response to Reply #4
11. Missouri would be a win - but its too close
Polls have McCaskill (D) up 1-3 points lately, but thats too close to call here. No-Talent (R) has been running A LOT of attack ads in the last week.
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yellowcanine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-10-06 04:13 PM
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5. Senate us a crapshoot but it does appear to be teetering. They
must be giving Virginia to Webb. I think Macaca man still has a chance there of pulling that out. Webb got hurt with the women in the military issue even though he has been running some pretty good counter ads.
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hashibabba Donating Member (894 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-10-06 04:18 PM
Response to Reply #5
9. I hope Webb wins, but I'm not sure he'll be able to pull it off.
Allen is running a lot of attack ads.
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longship Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-10-06 04:15 PM
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6. I agree with that.
Although eight Senators is going to be tough, it's doable. I think seven is more likely unless Kyl starts losing support in AZ. If NV starts going for Carter, it could be NINE. That's doubtful, though.

The 35 House seats are more than doable. Unlike the Senate, I don't think that there's an upper limit in the House. House races are small elections. If GOP disaffection is as strong as *all* the big indicators show there are going to be many surprises in November. I'm rather arbitrarily going with 50 seats in the House. I know this is optimistic. If trends continue, we could get that many, or more.

The bottom line is that if we continue to work hard and give until it hurts, we're likely to take back both houses of Congress. We may even have a very nice majority in the House in January.

Don't stop now. Keep working!

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endarkenment Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-10-06 04:16 PM
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7. Good.
lets make sure this happens.
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endarkenment Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-10-06 04:18 PM
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10. And it would be exceedingly excellent
if Joe Lieberman (Asshat - Con) is not in a position to demand anything, either by outright defeat or by the fact that he is not the deciding vote to make the Democratic caucus the majority caucus.
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