Rasmussen: Michigan: Clinton Soars, Granholm Struggles

[DemocratSinceBirth]

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_2008__1/2008_presidential_election/michigan_2008_presidential_election


I'm really not concerned about Michigan...These are states I'll be watching closely- Pennsylvania, Ohio, Florida, Arkansas, and New Mexico...

Probably missed some key ones...

[Zynx]

1. Michigan is an essential part of our electoral coalition.

Not as reliable as Illinois, but certainly as important. It is important that we can rely on it so we can focus on Ohio, New Mexico, Colorado, Virginia, etc

[DemocratSinceBirth]

2. And Florida

I still think it's easier to flip Florida than the other states...

Rudy does present unique problems in FL now...

[w4rma]

3. Is Florida still using DREs to vote with? If so, then Florida is un-flippable. (nt)

[hedda_foil]

5. No. They're replacing all their DREs with opscans -- but no audits.

Opscans are just as flippable as DREs. The benefit is that the voter marks his/her own paper ballot so it can be checked and recounted. If there isn't a law to hand-count a reasonable percentage of those ballots against the machine results, the machine count is no more reliable than DREs.

[Zynx]

7. I'll worry more about that when we get closer to the election.

I firmly believe Rudy will fall in the estimation of voters the more they get to know him.

[cobalt1999]

10. I live in the most republican part of Florida...

and, while my county will probably not go democratic, it will be the closest in the last 25 years. Florida will easily flip this time. It would have the last two times if Gore or Kerry had been smart enough to pick Graham as their running mate.

[cobalt1999]

11. dupe

[hedda_foil]

4. Didn't Granholm run 2 years ago?

She isn't up for election this year is she?

[DemocratSinceBirth]

6. Not Sure

But she isn't very popular...

[Zynx]

9. She was quite unpopular in 2006 and won by 16 points or something like that

Michigan is just a very Democratic state at the moment. I would be shocked if we won it by less than 8 in 2008.

[Zynx]

8. She ran in 2006 and isn't up again. She won by 16 points as I recall.

[wiseguy182]

12. I'm from Michigan

I am from Michigan, so I can hopefully shed some inside light on this subject.

At this point, I would imagine The dem nominee will probably win the state, althought perhaps not by a huge margin. Unless the possibility that Mitt Romney is the GOP nominee, his father George Romney was governor of this state, so Mitt will be playing huge for it no question.

Carl Levin will be on the ballot and should win with about 58% of the vote, so that could potentially help out the dem nominee. Granholm and Stabenow both won in 06 with about 58%, and it looks like 08 could very well be another dem year, so the edge lies with the Dem.

Granholm is sort of unpopular, but it's the state's horrible economy (worst in the nation) that's doing it: and that is Bush's fault, not Granholm's