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Hillary's surge in the polls is largely due to support from women with college degrees

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jefferson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-25-07 08:42 PM
Original message
Hillary's surge in the polls is largely due to support from women with college degrees
Good for Hillary. This will be a key voting block come next November.

Educated Women Climb Aboard
By Ronald Brownstein, National Journal
Thursday, Oct. 25, 2007

An irony of Hillary Rodham Clinton's political career is that the women who resemble her most have often appeared to support her the least.

From her first New York Senate race in 2000 to her presidential campaign this year, Clinton has connected effectively with blue-collar and working-class women. "They think she is tough and smart and gets their lives," says veteran Democratic consultant Celinda Lake, who is polling for presidential hopeful Joseph Biden and has also conducted surveys about the race for liberal women's groups.

But college-educated and professional women -- who have more in common with Clinton -- have been a greater puzzle for her. Some view her as cold and calculating. Others think that she betrayed the ideals of feminism by remaining with her husband, former President Clinton, despite his publicly acknowledged infidelities.

"There has been a bigger hurdle to overcome with those women," admits Mark Penn, the chief strategist for Hillary Clinton's presidential campaign.

Or, as Lake puts it: "It's her peers who are tougher on her."

But recent polls show Clinton dramatically gaining ground with better-educated Democratic women, both nationally and in the key early state of New Hampshire. More than any other factor, those gains explain why she has nearly doubled her lead over Barack Obama, her closest competitor, in national Gallup polls since summer, according to an analysis by Gallup for National Journal. Clinton remains very popular among downscale Democratic women, the Gallup results show, and her newfound strength among college-educated Democratic women is allowing her to cut into the core of Obama's coalition: well-educated Democrats.

<SNIP>

http://news.nationaljournal.com/articles/071025nj1.htm
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illinoisprogressive Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-25-07 08:50 PM
Response to Original message
1. Actually her surge is media driven.
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OhioChick Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-25-07 08:53 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. You're Absolutely Right. n/t
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wyldwolf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-25-07 08:55 PM
Response to Reply #1
4. then why isn't Obama surging? He gets tons of media coverage
:shrug:
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IndianaGreen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-25-07 09:57 PM
Response to Reply #1
13. I think is the other way around. The least educated, the more likely a woman is to support Hillary
Better still, the least knowledgeable a woman is, the more likely she is to fall for the celebrity of Hillary.

Like Bush, Hillary is the candidate of low-info voters.
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-26-07 05:41 AM
Response to Reply #13
16. That Is The Most Condescending And Patronizing Thing I Have Ever Read On The "Internets"
It is demonstrably untrue, empirically and anecdotally...
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cali Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-26-07 05:49 AM
Response to Reply #13
18. Shorter IG
I will simply make up my own "facts" to fit my viewpoint, and completely ignore evidence to the contrary.
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-26-07 05:54 AM
Response to Reply #18
19. It's Worse
It's the conceit that if you disagree with me you're stupid...
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Alter Ego Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-26-07 01:46 PM
Response to Reply #13
29. I'd rather she fall for Hillary's "celebrity"
than for that of Romney, McCain, Giuliani, or Fred "Cabbage Face" Thompson.
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cuke Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-26-07 02:00 PM
Response to Reply #13
32. So you think women are shallow?
Not surprised
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-26-07 02:06 PM
Response to Reply #32
34. Only The "Fair Ladies" (Sic) That Disagree With Her
DSB
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sampsonblk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-26-07 07:08 AM
Response to Reply #1
21. Actually, she's a great campaigner
Who knew?

She isn't a great speaker (yet), but as a campaigner, she's doing all the right things the right way at the right time.

I have no doubt that she could surge among other groups if she put her mind to it.
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ShortnFiery Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-26-07 01:57 PM
Response to Reply #21
31. So the candidate who can most emulate PT Barnum's values should win?
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sampsonblk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-27-07 12:57 AM
Response to Reply #31
35. Not at all
I am just pointing out why I believe she's ahead. I am not making a value judgment. I'll leave that to others.
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LibDemAlways Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-26-07 10:46 AM
Response to Reply #1
27. You've got that right. I'm a woman with
a college degree, and Hillary is my last choice, although the media has been painting her as inevitable for a long time. For now, I'm sticking with Edwards.If Hillary is the eventual nominee, I'll vote for her in the general, although it will be reluctantly and without enthusiasm.
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amandabeech Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-27-07 05:58 PM
Response to Reply #27
41. I'm with you.
I have a bachelor's and a law degree, and my first choice is Edwards. Perhaps I gravitate toward him because my family started out poor, too, and I want people at the low end of the income spectrum respected and treated right. Edwards will do it much better than Clinton. Kucinich would also do it much better than Clinton.

I also think that Clinton will get us into more foolishness in the Middle East. She hasn't withdrawn her support of the Iraq war, like Edwards, and looks like she's not opposed to bombing Iran. Biden looks better than her on this issue, which is really important to me.

And then there's her support of Bill. I have thought that Bill was a troubled man since I saw "A Man from Hope." He grew up in a household with a violent, drunken step-father. I have dysfunctional individuals in my family, too, and I know how it can affect children later in life. It didn't look like Bill was even aware of the problem, but I thought that it would come out one way or another, and, IMHO, it did. There's a reason why he is in or has been in counseling for sexual addiction. I hope that Hillary is not a co-dependent enabler of an Adult Child of an Alcoholic (that '70s language) or someone who puts up with him because of her ultimate life goals because she's ahead in the polls.

Obviously, I don't know the Clintons, but I don't like the information that's out there, including some of the summaries that I've seen of Bernstein's book on Clinton's very "assertive" father, if true.

This is a much more dangerous time than the '90s, and I'm not willing to run the risk that a possibly dysfunctional couple will run things.

We have better candidates for the current situation.
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ShortnFiery Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-26-07 01:51 PM
Response to Reply #1
30. Exactly! My opinion also ... or HRC doesn't enjoy support from those of us with advanced degrees?
Edited on Fri Oct-26-07 01:53 PM by ShortnFiery
:shrug: This makes no sense to me. I have not talked with ONE person, nor have I viewed ONE bumper sticker supporting HRC.

Media craze for higher ratings and never-ending scandals? CHECK! :evilgrin:
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AtomicKitten Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-25-07 08:53 PM
Response to Original message
2. Obama has an untapped goldmine in young voters.
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NoPasaran Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-26-07 07:18 AM
Response to Reply #2
23. The trouble with that untapped goldmine
Is it's really a vein of young non-voters who need to be motivated to actually show up at their primaries and caucuses if it's going to do him any good.
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Freddie Stubbs Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-26-07 07:32 AM
Response to Reply #2
25. The problem is those young voters generally don't vote until the general election
They will likely go untapped.
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Bitwit1234 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-25-07 09:07 PM
Response to Original message
5. Hillary's surge is because they like her better 'n Obama.
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NewHampster Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-25-07 09:23 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. Got that right
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Tellurian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-26-07 07:22 AM
Response to Reply #6
24. So, what was it they said...
Obama is going to be busing kids in from ILL to the IOWA Cauaus?
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democratsin08 Donating Member (312 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-25-07 09:30 PM
Response to Original message
7. makes sense
educated people are not impressed with the negative campaign of obama.
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bicentennial_baby Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-25-07 09:32 PM
Response to Reply #7
8. We're also not impressed with Hillary...
:eyes:
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jefferson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-25-07 09:33 PM
Response to Reply #7
9. LOL!
Negative. Whatever. :rofl:
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liberalhistorian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-25-07 09:45 PM
Response to Reply #7
11. Seems to me that Hillary's campaign is
a helluva lot more negative, and engages in more smears, than Obama's; not that I'm entirely thrilled with Obama right now, either. Just sayin.'
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-26-07 05:43 AM
Response to Reply #11
17. Who Did She Smear
Please proffer the evidence with names...

Innuendo and hearsay aren't evidence in America...
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liberalhistorian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-25-07 09:43 PM
Response to Original message
10. Well, this is one gal with a college
degree hanging on her wall who does NOT support Hillary, who will be sickened if she's the nominee, and who will hold her nose to vote for her if she IS the nominee. And I know I ain't alone in that, either.
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rinsd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-25-07 09:56 PM
Response to Original message
12. Excellent!
Thanks for posting jeff_dem :hi:
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cuke Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-26-07 01:51 AM
Response to Original message
14. k&r
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Name removed Donating Member (0 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-26-07 02:35 AM
Response to Original message
15. Deleted message
Message removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.
 
liberalhistorian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-26-07 12:48 PM
Response to Reply #15
28. Uhhhh.......look, I am definitely not a Hillary
supporter and I do not want her to be the nominee. But your statement is very childish and not constructive at all. And it is, unfortunately, beginning to look more and more like she will NOT be "crashing and burning." Far from it.
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Name removed Donating Member (0 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-26-07 05:59 AM
Response to Original message
20. Deleted sub-thread
Sub-thread removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.
 
depakid Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-26-07 07:14 AM
Response to Original message
22. Brownstein- that guy has about as much credibility as Howard Feinman
Edited on Fri Oct-26-07 07:20 AM by depakid
or Howard Kurtz.

Amazing that the Times is allowing him to write on politics again after his last little scandal. I guess that says something about the Times/Tribune's credibility, too.

Note: The Times found out that his wife was working for the McCain Campaign.

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watercolors Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-26-07 10:22 AM
Response to Original message
26. Yea for us!
nt
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ozone_man Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-26-07 02:05 PM
Response to Original message
33. Good, send them to fight in Iran
when the war starts. Out of sight out of mind. It's easy to vote for a war like Hillary, harder if you have to fight in one.
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cuke Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-27-07 01:02 AM
Response to Reply #33
36. So when will you be joining the Iranian Revolutionary Guard?
After all, the unjustly accused should be defended against the warmongering Hillary, right? Or are you just going to sit on the sidelines and whine?
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ozone_man Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-27-07 10:26 AM
Response to Reply #36
37. I'll be voting for a peace candidate.
I imagine the founders that started the country did a bunch of whining. Look where it got them? Maybe it will take another revolution. :)
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cuke Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-27-07 04:09 PM
Response to Reply #37
39. They actually fought in a revolution
They risked their lives, their family, their fortune...everything
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ozone_man Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-27-07 05:34 PM
Response to Reply #39
40. It could come to that at some point.
As we drift further toward fascism, we may need to restore the republic by revolution.

"The strongest reason for the people to retain the right to keep and bear arms is, as a last resort, to protect themselves against tyranny in Government."
-- Thomas Jefferson
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janx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-27-07 10:37 AM
Response to Original message
38. That's funny. I heard the same thing on MSNBC yesterday
from Nora O'Donnell and Tweety.

It's interesting how these pearls of wisdom make the media circuits, no?
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