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How many states can one of our candidates win?

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BeatleBoot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-15-07 04:32 PM
Original message
How many states can one of our candidates win?
http://graphics8.nytimes.com/packages/html/politics/2004_ELECTIONRESULTS_GRAPHIC/index_FULL.html

How many states would a Hillary candidacy win? An Obama candidacy? An Edwards, Biden or Richardson candidacy?

How many blue states versus red states?

Interesting questions.

I think that Michigan will vote Democrat no matter who the candidate is. The economy here is in a Depression and I think Bush is polling at something like 11% approval.

Personally, I think it's going to be tough to win the whole enchilada, though.

What's your take?







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BenDavid Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-15-07 04:48 PM
Response to Original message
1. If all goes according to Hoyle, then HRC should have a
Edited on Sat Dec-15-07 04:48 PM by BenDavid
majority of the 4360 delegates either on February 9th or Feb. 12th. I see Obama falling far behind in these states primaries where one has to cast a vote. Only states I see Obama having a chance in after Iowa and NH and S.C. is Illinois.

Ben David
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-15-07 04:49 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. I think the OP was talking about the General
And If Obama can win in Iowa, NH, and SC, dont think for a second that the other wont change.
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tritsofme Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-15-07 04:50 PM
Response to Original message
3. Here is a cool electoral college calculator
I played around a lot with in 2004:

http://www.opinionjournal.com/ecc/map/index.htm
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davidinalameda Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-15-07 04:57 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. I'm thinking 294 votes Democratic and 244 repug
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BeatleBoot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-15-07 05:21 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. Thanks for the link
Pretty coooool site.



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MasonJar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-15-07 06:15 PM
Response to Original message
6. I clicked Kentucky and got a big improvement over '04. One more would do the trick.
This year Mitch is going to be fighting for his slimy political life; he hasn't the pull that he has exercised for years and so Kentucky could go dem.
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Bullet1987 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-15-07 06:18 PM
Response to Reply #6
7. Obama really puts the South into play...
Because he'll rally the Black vote probably in historic proportions. People also underestimate the multitude of crossover votes he can get. I don't think any Dem currently running can get as many crossover Republican votes as Obama.
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