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NH Suffolk Poll: Hillary up by 17 over Obama, McCain up by 9 over Romney...

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SaveElmer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-02-08 12:40 PM
Original message
NH Suffolk Poll: Hillary up by 17 over Obama, McCain up by 9 over Romney...

With the New Hampshire Presidential Primaries just six days away, John McCain and Hillary Clinton are their respective party’s front-runners, according to a 7NEWS/Suffolk University poll released today.

In the Republican Primary, McCain (32 percent) led Mitt Romney (23 percent), Rudy Giuliani (11 percent), Mike Huckabee (10 percent), Ron Paul (8 percent), Fred Thompson (2 percent) and Duncan Hunter (1 percent). Thirteen percent were undecided. Giuliani’s numbers have declined in six consecutive polls, from a high of 37 percent in March 2007 to 11 percent as of Jan. 2, 2008

...

In the Democratic Primary, the 7NEWS/Suffolk University poll also shows that Clinton (37 percent) continues to lead Barack Obama (20 percent), John Edwards (16 percent), Bill Richardson (5 percent), Joe Biden (3 percent), Christopher Dodd (1 percent) and Dennis Kucinich (1 percent). Sixteen percent were undecided.

Clinton support widespread

Clinton led Obama 41 percent-to-18 percent among registered Democrats, 40 percent-to-18 percent among women, and 39 percent-to-13 percent among voters age 65 and older. However, one out of four elderly voters (25 percent) was still undecided in the Democratic Primary.

“Hillary Clinton has methodically locked up the most reliable voters. In addition, she has widespread support geographically in the four major regions of the state, right down to the county level.”


http://www.suffolk.edu/25922.html

This is a tracking poll
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-02-08 12:44 PM
Response to Original message
1. I Have Been Watching That Poll
Edited on Wed Jan-02-08 12:45 PM by DemocratSinceBirth
Some random observations...

1) I suspect Obama wins IA

1) The CW says IA and NH are a pair... Will it hold this year?

3) Hillary still remains very strong in nat'l polls...Even if Hillary loses IA, NH, and SC, Obama has to change those nat'l numbers because Super Tuesday (2/5) is a national primary...
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SaveElmer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-02-08 12:50 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. I think the CW on IA and NH being a pair are not borne out by history...
Of the 10 contested campaigns - both Democratic and Republican - since 1976, only three times has the winner in Iowa gone on to win New Hampshire...

2004 Kerry won both
2000 Gore won both (Gore really was a defacto incumbent)

1976 - Carter won both...



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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-02-08 12:53 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. I Know
I am just reciting the CW

The "vaunted" Chuck Todd said they were a pair...

The "vaunted" Chuck Todd also said if Nancy Pelosi became Speaker Bush*'s popularity would reach 50% by July...

Oh, Carter ran behind uncommitted in 1976...
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