Is the primary a done deal already?

[Sparkly]

Poll question: Is the primary a done deal already?

Did Iowa set the momentum that's going to decide the whole race, as it did for Kerry?

Or is there still a chance Edwards or Clinton could win?

[tblue]

1. I hope not.

[musicblind]

26. oops posted in wrong place

[tigereye]

2. after one primary? ?????

um, no.

[skipos]

3. No. But Edwards needs to beat Clinton in NH or he is done.

He is polling a distant 3rd everywhere.

[K Gardner]

35. Half.. thats 50%.. of the delegates are awarded in one day. And that day is not 2 days from now..

and it wasn't last week. That day is Feb 5th. There is no real campaigning yet in most of the Super Tuesday states. Please stop trying to diminish good candidates..ANY of them.. by two states results. By the way, my state has absolutely nothing in common with NH, and very little in common with Iowa. So let's wait and see. Please?

[skipos]

38. You shouldn't be so effected by the opinion of one person on the internet

I am allowed to state my opinion here, and I choose to be a realist. Edwards is a distant 3rd in all the polls for every state that is being polled. If you want to think he can pull a victory out of that, go ahead.

[Occam Bandage]

4. Clinton is still very dangerous, even if she loses NH and SC. I think Edwards is done.

[msongs]

16. in spite of your propaganda, BUSH is dangerous, HRC is a democrat.

DUers can say she is a republican all they want but that is not, in fact, true.

Msongs

[Occam Bandage]

24. Um, "dangerous" in the sense of "a threat to my candidate," not "a threat to America."

She'd be a fine President.

[Kucinich4America]

25. Were Zell Miller and Joe Lieberman also "Democrats"??

How about Jim "who put that dead racoon on my head?" Traficant??
Do you define "Democrat" by the letter "D" that someone puts after their name for political expediency, or by the agenda which that politician actually supports.

(And please - if Perry Logan is lurking - spare me the spam list where Hillary scored a 95% from the Organization of Useless Ratings Designed to Make DLC'ers Look Liberal.)

[peace13]

5. Our process has been stolen

not at the ballot box but with these hokey debates that have participants selected by the media. We should all be outraged!

[THUNDER HANDS]

6. yeah, it's over

sorry, but it is. You know, when a baseball team scores 10 runs in the first inning they still have 8 other innings to play, but the game is over.

That's what this is like.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

9. Good Analogy...

Kind of like your football team being down 30-0 at half time... The odds are slim... This is alternately amazing and frustrating to me...

I always said Hillary had a big nat'l lead but a loss in IA and NH could change the dynamic...Boy, has it...

[THUNDER HANDS]

17. her lead was based on two things

her name and her perceived ability to win.

Her name is still there, but her ability to win is now questioned.

Once Obama becomes a bigger name than her, it's all over.

[Kucinich4America]

28. I wouldn't say Obama scored 10 runs in Iowa though.

Though it certainly was Strike One for Hillary.

And baseball rules should apply here. Three strikes and she should be out.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

7. Bookmark This Post

Barring a major gaffe or scandal Barack Obama is the Democratic nominee...I have resigned myself to that fact...It will hurt less that way...

[ElizabethDC]

DSB, I hate to hear you sounding so forlorn

don't give up hope yet. Things are hardly over.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

13. I Don't Want To Depress You, My Friend...I Apologize

But if I accommodate myself to the bad news it won't hurt so much....

[ElizabethDC]

15. I am not depressed, I remain hopeful.

Why get all worked up about something that might not even happen?

[Colobo]

34. DSB and Elizabeth, you are great people, and I truly feel

your dissapointment. However, don't give up yet, this is just starting. I'll admit I think an Obama win in NH is the beginning of the end for Hillary, but she's a very smart woman with a lot of resources, and she has what it takes to turn things around. Don't lose hope, yet.

However, if she does lose, I hope you will embrace Barack Obama and realize what a great candidate he is. You guys know you have first class seats waiting for you on the Obama train. :)

[JorgeTheGood]

21. Double bookmark this thread ...

If OB is the nominee the dems will experience the biggest A$$-kicking in political history and hand the WH to the rupublicans for another 8 years and possibly forever.

[TwilightZone]

22. I might have to reconsider my personal belief that Iowa doesn't determine our nominee.

With no motivation other than the outcome of the Iowa causus, NH seems to be shifting en masse.

People like to vote for a winner, but this is a bit surprising.

[sandyd921]

8. It would be nice if

the rest of us (meaning more than 2 states) were involved in determining the Democrats' nominee.

[msongs]

11. until super tuesday do not let the obamanistas bully you into submission

based on votes while they were both in congress there is hardly a spit of difference between them.

nobody is the new messiah despite how some people act.

Msongs

[emilyg]

30. Thank you. I needed that.

[ElizabethDC]

12. Yep, I agree.

I feel useless.

[gristy]

10. No way - anything could happen

Even if nothing out of the ordinary happens, things could shift as we go along.
And the possibility of something extraordinary happening and influencing the voters is always there.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

18. This Is Like Sports

Anything can happen but the most likely outcome is that Barack Obama wins...

He has the wind at his back and is being buoyed by the main stream media...I have never seen the press so in one candidate's corner since I read Theodore White's book " The Making Of The President" where he wrote how the media used to ride in the press bus with Jack Kennedy in 1960 and laugh at Richard Nixon...

[napi21]

14. It's not over by a long shot! If this were Feb. 6th, I'd say differently!

Iowa rarely nominates the final winner. Did they this time? It's way too soon to know.

[earthlover]

20. It sure did for kerry....and it looks like presently obama has a similar surge

[napi21]

23. Yes it looks good for Obama, but there are a lot of other states

to go. A lot of you thought it was awful when anyone said anything agains Obama in the past, but it's different now. Not only the other Dems are going to be pointing out his flaws, but so are the Pubs. It really isn't over yet. let's have some patients and see.

[Alexander]

19. Not until Obama wins big on Super Tuesday.

Edwards is pretty much done, it seems.

[ZinZen]

27. I am for Obama

but Super Tuesday has ALOT of delegates. Super Tuesday will be be more of an indicator.

[Nimrod2005]

29. Obama only needs one or two big states...nt

[musicblind]

31. Opinion but ...

Look, here's the reality. According to real clear politics. Clinton is up 20 points in Nevada, up 20 points in Michigan, and up 25 points in Florida over Obama. Obama will win Iowa, and NH. And those wins will give him a bump, but NO WIN will give anyone a 20 point bump. I think 10 to 15 points would be maximum bump a person could recieve. Clinton still stands a good chance of winning Nevada, Michigan, and Florida. After obama wins SC that will mean that each of them has won three states going into super tuesday. They may not have the same delegates, but they will have the moral victories behind them and looking equal. Then it is up to the nations public. It will probably be a toss up across the nation come Feb 5th (IMO). I think it is still anyone's ball game.

[Sparkly]

32. Good analysis.

Do you think Edwards will still be in the running when Nevada, Michigan and Florida roll around?

And, what was Kerry's bump in those states, following Iowa up til the vote? I don't know if that info is handy, but I don't recall...

[suston96]

33. Plainly speaking, if we pick our next president based on primaries in two very small states....

...we are in big trouble. I thought the electoral college debacle in 2000 taught us something.

[laureloak]

36. 1880 delegates needed?

[jzodda]

37. Too early wait till Super Tuesday

We will know who wins at the end of Feb 5th, but not before.

[peoli]

39. This poll shows that as of now

77% of people on DU have no clue whats going on.