Those Who Win Both Iowa and New Hampshire Share a Title: ‘Nominee’

[babylonsister]

http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?parm1=5&docID=cqmidday-000002652584

Those Who Win Both Iowa and New Hampshire Share a Title: ‘Nominee’

Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton , D-N.Y., is counting on the “Super-Duper Tuesday” primaries Feb. 5 to rescue her presidential campaign if she falters again in New Hampshire. But history offers her little cause for optimisim.

In competitive races over the past three and a half decades, every candidate who won both the Iowa precinct caucuses and the New Hampshire primary went on to win his party’s nomination. If the latest tracking polls are accurate and the historical pattern holds true, Sen. Barack Obama , D-Ill., could be one day away from clinching the Democratic nomination. Only a major stumble appears likely to break his grip if he wins New Hampshire on Tuesday.

Five candidates in recent decades won both Iowa and New Hampshire, and each became their party’s nominee: Jimmy Carter in 1976 and 1980, Gerald Ford in 1976, Al Gore in 2000 and John Kerry in 2004.

Since 1972, all but two major party nominees won either Iowa or New Hampshire, or both, en route to becoming the nominee. The exceptions were Democrats George McGovern in 1972 and Bill Clinton in 1992.

[jgraz]

1. Nothing holds true this year

Obama's in great shape, but anything can happen with this wacked-out primary schedule.

[Cha]

2. I agree...I was going to post

that..history teaches us some things but you can not depend on something this unpredictable. And, afterall, bill clinton was one of those who didn't win in those two states.

[ozone_man]

5. All the way to the convention Zidzi!

I'm in for the long haul. Anything can happen in a three way brawl.

[Cha]

8. Hey, ozoneman! I wish

I didn't care so much cause my emotions are getting the best of my non-stoic self. :)

[ozone_man]

19. It's good to be emotional when it's worth fighting for.

Never give up. :hug:

[Cha]

20. Thanks, and I needed that

cyber :hug:!

[Bullet1987]

10. The '92 race for the Dems wasn't like this cycle's race...

[Cha]

16. Right!

It's a whole new ballgame:)

[cali]

3. the wacked out schedule favors Obama. n/t

[jgraz]

7. How so? Because there's no time to regroup?

There's also no time to build a tidal wave of momentum and to bleed your competition dry.

[cali]

15. the close proximity of NH to Iowa and

SC being added on as an early primary. There's actually plenty of time for momentum to build- look at NH and SC. And Super Tuesday is actually a national primary: the candidate who goes in to the contests that day with big momentum, will have a very good day.

[calteacherguy]

4. Woo-hoo!

:bounce:

[suston96]

6. Think about your premise.....

...two small states - do the math on their populations versus the 300 million in the country.

Those two states should determine who the presidential nominees of the party are for either or both major parties?

Consider that it might not be YOUR candidate who is so inevitable.

[AZ Criminal JD]

9. Jimmy Carter came in 2nd in 1976 in Iowa

Uncommitted won.

[no name no slogan]

11. They hold the title "frontrunner"

Super Tuesday is the big test. The others are nice, but don't mean shit until February 5 is over.

[AX10]

13. True.

[Proud2BAmurkin]

12. LOL.. "except for before three decades ago"..."except for McGovern and Clinton"

This is one of those try-too-hard statistics you come up with to prop up your team's superbowl chances. Fun but meaningless

[Joe the Revelator]

17. What do you mean except for Clinton?

The same candidate didn't win both Iowa and NH. Put some thought into your posts, dude.

[BenDavid]

14. Excuse me but HRC has not lost anything yet, especially not

the nominee.....Wait, the "Obama landslide" was what, 38%? That means 62% of Iowa Democrats didn't like Obama, yet Bush's presswhores keep saying, "America has changed, Obama has charmed the white man."Anybody believe that?

Remember what they did to Harold Ford in 06? Who thinks America has changed in the last 14 months?


the count of delegates obama 16 hrc 15 edwards 14......

[Sulawesi]

18. Oh my....