Obama Will Win Big Today in NH, What is Hillary's Path to the Nomination?

[tritsofme]

He may even win by double digits.

Polls like the ones that are coming just don't lie.

Can she make a stand in SC?

Can she stick it out until Feb 5th, and then pull out some big wins?

Is she going to start having money problems?

I am a Hillary supporter (also an IL resident that loves Obama) and have been for a long time, but after this impending loss in NH, I don't see a good way for Clinton to get back on track or even have a realistic plan at winning enough delegates to force a second ballot, let alone win outright.

Edwards is already done, it looks like Obama might just sweep this thing away.

[loveangelc]

1. I doubt she gets out before Feb. 5th but I think it could be in her best interest to.

[1corona4u]

12. Don't you have a brass pole to polish...

or something...

Hillary's not going anywhere. She will end up with the most delegates. Mark my words.

[thoughtcrime1984]

15. Oooh, snarky, I like it

Hillary style! High-five!

[Beacool]

23. From your lips to God's ears!!!

I'm still hoping for Hillary now and Obama down the line in a few years.

[smalll]

27. LOL -

Although I suspect that with that pic, Angel is, in fact, a 50something bald, pudgy guy.

[loveangelc]

32. hahahha yes thats exactly right. Im a 50 year old man...?

omg you pepole are pathetic.

[loveangelc]

33. omg, good one!!!!!!!!

[Radio_Lady]

45. UPDATE: The problem with early predictions... is you might be wrong.

[Klukie]

2. Why is Edwards done?

[tritsofme]

4. There aren't any pivotal states that he has a chance at winning for one.

Or any states really, for that matter.

Unless there is a close second to Obama in NH tonight, I doubt anyone can stop his momentum.

[1corona4u]

25. Edwards is done, because the media said so....

[mrreowwr_kittty]

3. Obama is predicted to walk away with SC. Clinton has been ahead in NV.

Though I don't know what the numbers are now. Obama does have some key union endorsements there but NV remains Clinton's best chance at this point.

[tritsofme]

7. Staking hopes on a not particularly delegate rich Nevada

Doesn't seem like a clear path to the nomination.

IMO, she needs close seconds in NH and SC to be any sort of competitive.

[TomClash]

5. Her strategy is

1. Play the victim

2. Attack Obama

3. Cut a deal to win Nevada

4. Hope to win the big states on Tsunami Tuesday

[ChairmanAgnostic]

6. as a member of the audience.

[featherman]

8. Nevada is a caucus state and is said to be entirely

dependent on who the Culinary Workers Union decides to back tomorrow following the NH results. This may be an overstatement but at this point NV is not settled

[Yael]

9. The Giuliani Strategy. On Feb 5th, New York will dominate the country

[tritsofme]

11. Guiliani has a big state strategy that could actually work.

Hillary can guarantee wins in NY NJ ect.

She obviously won't win IL.

CA will be competitive.

Giuliani can afford big early losses because he can almost guarantee big state wins across the board, Hillary no longer can.

[Yael]

21. I would LOVE for him to be the candidate

ensure the evangelical vote stays home.

[HeraldSquare212]

24. Do you think she can guarantee NY?

I know she'd be the favorite daughter candidate, but I'm not sure if the same phenomenon we're seeing in SC - black voters moving to Obama - wouldn't happen there also.

[tritsofme]

29. If I was a betting man, I'd put it all on Hillary winning NY

Obama will contest it as much as Hillary contests IL.

[HeraldSquare212]

30. Just read somewhere, I think WSJ,

that since NY awards delegates by congressional district, Obama will choose to compete in some districts and thinks he can win 40% of delegates.

[Freddie Stubbs]

50. He needs to win Florida a week earlier to viable, otherwise

NY will be his only victory.

[1corona4u]

10. Super Delegates?

Just a guess.

[goldcanyonaz]

13. Some here don't seem to understand Delegates, or even the Electoral College.

[1corona4u]

14. I guess not...

and it's the whole reason Hillary will continue on in this race, despite how she finishes in the early key states.

[goldcanyonaz]

I would be so disgusted if she were to pull out!

[1corona4u]

18. She won't...

I think she's getting fatigued, but she will carry on. I don't personally know anyone, in my circle of friends,(about 75?) who is going to vote for Obama, or Edwards, so I'd say she will win Florida easily. Of course there's that delegate issue, but it will get resolved.

[goldcanyonaz]

20. I'm an absentee voter from Michigan and I want my vote counted!

So happy that you're among us 1corona! You're a bright light in this dark place.

[HeraldSquare212]

16. Focus on closed primaries

Some Clinton campagin officials were apparently considering refocusing resources to only closed primaries, ie.., only registered Dems can vote, and no same-day registration. The theory was that Obama was getting so much support from independents that those states were their best bets. Zogby poll today has Obama leading among Dems by 6%, though. Maybe she can make up 6% or so if that is the spread in closed states, but it's still no cakewalk.

[abburdlen]

17. she doesn't need a win

before Feb 5th but she needs some time before then for Obama to under perform. As long as the news is Obama's decisive victories, anything she or Edwards says is going to seem irrelevant.
You can fight a rising tide but you can't hold back a tsunami.

[tritsofme]

19. Less than decisive losses in IA NH and SC wouldn't be disasterous

going in Feb 5.

It doesn't look like it is going to turn out that way.

She needs big 2nd place finishes in NH and SC, and I don't know if its going to turn out that way.

[abburdlen]

22. it is shaping up

for Obama to win big in NH & SC. NV hasn't had a recent poll so who really knows but the momentum is undeniably Obama's.
Frankly I'm surprised Clinton or Edwards campaigns haven't been "leaking" internal polls that say Obama's is set to win NH by 50 points. Then when he only tops Clinton or Edwards by 10 - 15 point they can start talking about his descent back to the world of mortals.

[abburdlen]

39. or maybe not

:)

[smalll]

26. If Obama DOESN'T win by double digits, Hillary will be able to claim Comeback-Kiduousness. /nt

[abburdlen]

31. if she's within 5 point

the exact line will be:
"The reports of my demise have been greatly exaggerated."

And then she has a good shot going ahead. Makes the "Tested. Ready" bit an even better sell.

[Radio_Lady]

47. UPDATE: At 7:55 PM Pacific Time... you're pretty close. 6,000 votes.

How about... both of them?

Clinton/Obama -- READY for BIG change?

I could vote for that.

[BenDavid]

28. you wanna know the path? well read along with me as I try

to enlighten ya.....

hrc will make token visits to sc knowing that obama will win there. but there are three more states left in january. say she wins the small state of nevada..hell a win is a win. then she goes and wins michigan...oh the joy a big win can bring and the mediawhores will have to report this. whether it be positive or negative....okay now we all head south to florida...hrc wins florida and the mediawhores will i suspect try and spin it anti hrc but thats okay the public will see that hrc has won the big states of michigan and florida.....Now we head to 2/5 and the mojo is with hrc.....

say obama wins illinois and that is a given and he wins a couple of other states but the biggest winner that day is hrc with about 16 states.....Now, what is obama and edwards folks gonna do? Nothing, cause hrc is headed for the nomination....

Now see, that was not hard to read and it is not to hard to IMAGINE..so, let us let it play out.....

[MollieBradford]

34. trying to win as many delegates as possible

in the 48 other states which have not voted yet.
Remember, just as quickly as people jump on a bandwagon they can jump off. ir

[Bluebear]

35. Oh dear.

[Maven]

36. Yeah, I'm gonna kick this too.

Thanks.

[Clintonista2]

37. Recommended!

[goldcanyonaz]

38. Highly recommended!!

[NoPasaran]

40. Ooops!

[jlake]

41. ooops.

[CyberPieHole]

42. Kick and recommend...

sorry, but I just couldn't help myself.:evilgrin:

[Lebam in LA]

43. OOPS Again

[TankLV]

44. my my my...

[goodgd_yall]

46. Chin up

She won.

[William769]

48. A very BIG

OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOPS!

[NMDemDist2]

49. ROFL

:rofl:

[depakid]

51. "Polls like the ones that are coming just don't lie."

As some have said for many years on this board:

YES THEY DO.

[annie1]

52. i love it when people kick these, it cracks me up

[tgnyc]

53. D'oh!

[SIMPLYB1980]

54. LoL!

K&R

[tritsofme]

55. I will most gladly take a plate of New Hampshire's finest!

I haven't been happier that I have been so horribly wrong in quite some time!

[avrdream]

56. Good picture.

And good spirit.

:hi:

:dem:

:pals:

[MrSlayer]

57. I don't know. Probably something along the lines of winning instead of losing.

I was hoping Edwards did better.

[juajen]

58. This is just a little bit of rubbing it in. Please don't take it the wrong way.

We Hillary supporters really are nice; but, we've been through a lot lately and this is just too much fun. Turn about is fair play, I believe.

[tritsofme]

60. I am a Clinton supporter,

So don't worry, I am as pleasantly surprised by the results as you are.

[SIMPLYB1980]

59. Kick because its funny!

:rofl: