Edwards is the only candidate who beats McCain in a national show down.

[mzmolly]

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/national.html

Interesting stuff.

[TwilightZone]

1. The most recent poll (Zogby) had him down 4% to McCain.

That was nearly a month ago, though.

In fact, all of the Dem vs. McCain polls listed are a few weeks old. I wouldn't be surprised if Obama would be ahead of McCain now. Heck, all of the Dems might be ahead of him now.

[BlueStater]

2. Who the hell are they polling?

Good grief. Why would on Earth would anyone possibly want John "I would invade Iraq even if I knew they had no WMDs" McCain as their president!?

[TwilightZone]

3. I've been wondering that myself.

His high polling in NH is similarly inexplicable. I honestly don't know what independents see in the guy.

[mzmolly]

5. Rasmussen was done a day before showing John E up 7%.

:shrug:

RCP averages major polls and was accurate in 04.

[TwilightZone]

6. It might have been accurate in '04, but probably not...

ten months before the election. ;)

[mzmolly]

8. It does give us a picture of where we are today and what R's must do to win.

:D

[TwilightZone]

10. True.

Personally, I can't see McCain getting the nomination, but stranger things have happened. I think Edwards would be a formidable candidate against any of the Republicans.

What I don't get is why any of these polls are even close. I would think that any of our top candidates should be way ahead of the Republicans at this stage, considering the anti-Republican sentiment shown in the '06 races.

[mzmolly]

11. I agree.

:shrug:

[Thrill]

4. Those Polls mean nothing

Kerry was suppose to beat Bush by 12 points around this time in 04

[mzmolly]

7. Not according to RCP.

They were actually quite accurate.

[blue neen]

9. What is even more amazing are his numbers against Huckabee.

I believe JRE is our most viable candidate...and I just plain like him. :)

[saracat]

12. Which is why the powers that be aren't supporting him!

[bvar22]

13. Other factors to consider:

None of these polls are factoring in the influence of a 3rd Party Challenge from an AntiWAR/ProLABOR Populist candidate.
A Hillary or Obama nomination will catalyse such a challenge that will peel off a good number of AntiWar/ProLABOR Democrats, and a good percentage of Independents.

An Edwards nomination would not lose so many votes to a Populist challenge.


Hillary and Obama are counting millions of votes they will NOT get in the GE.

[mzmolly]

15. An excellent point.

:hi:

[bvar22]

14. Other factors to consider:

None of these polls are factoring in the influence of a 3rd Party Challenge from an AntiWAR/ProLABOR Populist candidate.
A Hillary or Obama nomination will catalyse such a challenge that will peel off a good number of AntiWar/ProLABOR Democrats, and a good percentage of Independents.

An Edwards nomination would not lose so many votes to a Populist challenge.


Hillary and Obama are counting millions of votes they will NOT get in the GE.