Early Numbers From NH Mean NOTHING - Here's Why

[democrat2thecore]

The early closing polling stations are all in small hamlets across New Hampshire. People always jump to wrong conclusions with these hour-early closings in NH. The key to victory for ANY candidate in NH is in four cities:

Manchester
Nashua
Concord
Rochester

ALL of the polling stations in these cities close at 8PM ET.

Big win for Obama. Write it down. (7:55 ET)......We'll know within minutes.

[THUNDER HANDS]

1. I hope you're right, but

I think it's going to be a lot closer than I first thought.

[LSparkle]

3. I'm still believing in those polls

that show him winning this by at least 5 points (and closer to 10).

Gobama!!!!!

[ellisonz]

7. These are going to be smaller precincts...

...with older voters. Mostly rural.

[democrat2thecore]

5. You may well be right.

[democrat2thecore]

2. Manchester is always last to report, btw. -nt

-

[still_one]

4. I sure hope you are right In my view Hillary would be a disaster as a nominee

and it has nothing to do with her gender, it has everything to do with her voting record on the IWR and the Kyle Lieberman ammendment

How can she distinguish herself from her republican counter parts with the way she voted on those issues?

I also cannot believe that the 8 - 10 percent lead of Obama could disappear within 24 hours

[Anouka]

8. She's not likeable. Policies or gender aside.

She'd be the biggest boon to Republicans wanting to keep the White House since..................... The Contract with America.

She and Bill have too many enemies whose heads explode at the mere mention of their names.

I remember during the 90s, when little old Republican ladies swore that Bill Clinton was satan himself -- and meant it. Those were weird times, the hatred. I didn't think it was fair, back then.

It doesn't look like it's dissipated. If anything, the Clintons actions have added haters to the rolls.

I don't like the 'electability' issue, though. Electability is fluid, and there are always surprises. But she could have the best policies on the planet, and no one is going to give her the time of day if they don't like her. :(

There it is.

[still_one]

10. You are preaching to the choir, but you sure articulated it well /nt

[usregimechange]

6. rural folks more likely to vote for Hillary...

[FrenchieCat]

9. Agreed......

Iowa started the same.

The smallest precinct are the fastest to count......and are usually rural.

Big cities are last....and that should be Obama's stronghold.

[NoBorders]

11. Gritting my teeth

I hope you're right.

[sandnsea]

12. Maybe, if rurals went McCain and Edwards

But I'm not really seeing the big city/rural split in New Hampshire the way there was in Iowa.