Obama needs to win all remaining precincts by 8% to TIE Hillary

[Herman Munster]

50% in, 4% lead.

[RoveRage]

1. This is going to be as tight as a dick's hatband! n/t

[TwilightZone]

2. MSNBC is reporting that exit polls show 47-30 Hillary with women voters.

Obama needs huge numbers among male voters if he's going to pull this out.

[AX10]

3. Hillary is still in strong with the female voters.

[William769]

4. Even with the College towns still out.

She keeps the lead in Manchester and Nasuwa that will offset the college towns.

[HeraldSquare212]

5. you're assuming equal population

college towns out, lots of votes there. I think the turnout is more than people were guessing, NYT had called one county for hil but changed it.

[jackson_dem]

9. There are probably less votes left

Manchester is already 75% in, 44% of Nashua is in, and 70% of Concord is. The remaining votes are apparently from small towns.

[dsc]

6. not exactly

unless all the precints are the same size, which I doubt. 48% of the precints doesn't necessarily mean 48% of the votes.

[Roland99]

7. There are only 3600 votes separating the two.

[Maven]

8. Where do you see 4% lead

CNN shows 2% lead (4000 votes)

Just curious where everyone's getting their data

[Bonobo]

10. Go back to stats class.

[yellowcanine]

11. Actually that is fuzzy math - assuming equal pop precincts it would be 4% margin needed to tie.

If he gets an 8% margin in each precinct he wins by 4%.

[Perky]

12. Back to remedial math for you.....

That assumes all preincts are the same size and they are not....not by any stretch.