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What the pollsters will tell you tomorrow

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KennedyGuy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 12:47 AM
Original message
What the pollsters will tell you tomorrow
is that polling during a "bump" or "surge" is notoriously unreliable..
those who have been around the block a few times, also know the extreme unreliability of weekend polling, which many of these polls were based on.
Honestly...did anybody question how Obama could jump 10-15 points in one day!
People got caught up in the "fever". I can understand that..
but to say that this was fixed because Obama lost is ridiculous.
I remember trying to point out that these wild Obama jumps of 10-15 in the polls were unrealistic..
I was derided..attacked..called all sorts of thingd.
These are the facts folks..
there was also a lack of young voters...they didn't show up..and were factored in.
Also..the polls expected that Independants would get caught up in the "surge"..and they didn't..many went to Mc Cain.
factor a pretty serious media backlash..and you have all the answer you need.
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SaveElmer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 12:47 AM
Response to Original message
1. "Just Kidding..."
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NastyRiffraff Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 12:49 AM
Response to Original message
2. NOW they tell us!
None of the genius pollsters mentioned the 20% undecideds in NH, and why that badly skews any poll.
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AX10 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 12:49 AM
Response to Original message
3. K/R
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silverojo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 12:53 AM
Response to Original message
4. Young voters NEVER show up
They're notoriously unreliable. If Obama's planning on winning by gaining the youth vote, he might as well just hand it over to HRC right now. :(
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Captain Hilts Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 12:58 AM
Response to Original message
5. Former pollster here: I saw this coming. Check my posts that past week. nt
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dugggy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 01:00 AM
Response to Original message
6. Did Hillary manipulated the electronic voting machines?
DOes any one know if she has inside track to Diebold programmers?
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HughMoran Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 01:01 AM
Response to Original message
7. ...and when I posted a local poll showing Clinton ahead, I was ignored
People see what they want to I fear.
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adapa Donating Member (427 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 01:09 AM
Response to Reply #7
8. funny that
I was working at a clinton HQ here in NH today. We just couldn't see obama wining by double digits.

we did a bunch of visability's & the majority of cars honked--like it or not that's a poll of sorts.
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NOVA_Dem Donating Member (195 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 01:10 AM
Response to Original message
9. Doesn't fly b/c they were spot on w/ the reps...try again. n/t
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KennedyGuy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 01:19 AM
Response to Reply #9
10. oh..give it up...
were the Iowa votes fixed for Obama as well?
grow up..
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