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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 02:40 PM
Original message
Signs pointing to record turnout--UPDATED!!
Edited on Sat Jan-26-08 03:30 PM by Kristi1696
Signs pointing to record turnout

If voters surge, party could share winner’s momentum
By JOHN O’CONNOR - joconnor@thestate.com

Good weather and an attractive slate of candidates have South Carolina Democrats expecting record turnout for today’s presidential primary, continuing a trend seen in other early-voting states.

A big turnout likely will propel the winning candidate into so-called “Tsunami Tuesday,” when more than 20 states vote Feb. 5. But state party leaders said it also will make Democrats more competitive in South Carolina.


http://www.thestate.com/presidential-politics/story/297243.html">More

ALSO

DATED 2:20 p.m.: 5 keys to winning today

-- Check TheState.com throughout the day today for updates on these keys to winning

------------------

1. Turnout: Heavy statewide turnout is expected to favor U.S. Sen. Barack Obama, who was behind in earlier S.C. polls, but surged in recent weeks.

UPDATE | 2:20 p.m.: At midday, Greenville County election officials were reporting brisk traffic at many precincts. "From what we hear, it is very busy out there," said Conway Belangia, registration and elections director. The day started out chilly, Belangia said, but otherwise voting has been problem free.

------------------

2. African-American: Almost half of Democratic voters in the state are African-American, and big turnouts in counties like Richland, Charleston and Orangeburg counties could indicate strong support for Obama.

UPDATE | 10:30 a.m.: In Richland County, a predominately African American Greenview precinct, poll workers reported that nearly 25 percent of all registered voters had cast ballots by 10:30. That’s amazing considering voter turnout in some primaries doesn’t reach 25 percent all day.

------------------

3. Women: Women have helped U.S. Sen. Hillary Clinton in other primaries, especially in her surprise win in New Hampshire. Reports of heavy turnout in Greenville or Horry counties could indicate hope for Clinton.

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4. Youth vote: Obama heavily courted the youth vote; heavy turnout in wards adjacent to Clemson University, USC and Benedict College could point toward votes for Obama.

UPDATE | 11:15 a.m.: About 100 people had voted at the Swinton Center on Benedict College’s campus. That’s a much smaller percentage of registered voters than have turned out a few miles away at Greenview Park. Poll workers said it’s not unusual for the college kids to vote later than residential voters.

UPDATE | 1:30 P.m.:At Ward 1 at the Capital Senior Center in Columbia, poll workers reported low turnout through 1 p.m. But those who showed up were remarkably young, female and African American, according to veteran poll workers

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5. Independents: Exit polling data showing a higher than expected vote by independents could benefit Obama and the Democratic Party, which is trying to claim the independent vote.


http://www.thestate.com/news-extras/story/297223.html">More

Let's hope!!

UPDATE:

2. African-American: Almost half of Democratic voters in the state are African-American, and big turnouts in counties like Richland, Charleston and Orangeburg counties could indicate strong support for Obama.

UPDATE | 3:10 p.m.: In Charleston County, turnout is strong, reports Marilyn Bowers, the board of elections and voter registration executive director.

UPDATE | 10:30 a.m.: In Richland County, a predominately African American Greenview precinct, poll workers reported that nearly 25 percent of all registered voters had cast ballots by 10:30. That’s amazing considering voter turnout in some primaries doesn’t reach 25 percent all day.

-AND-

4. Youth vote: Obama heavily courted the youth vote; heavy turnout in wards adjacent to Clemson University, USC and Benedict College could point toward votes for Obama.

UPDATE | 11:15 a.m.: About 100 people had voted at the Swinton Center on Benedict College’s campus. That’s a much smaller percentage of registered voters than have turned out a few miles away at Greenview Park. Poll workers said it’s not unusual for the college kids to vote later than residential voters.

UPDATE | 1:30 p.m.:At Ward 1 at the Capital Senior Center in Columbia, near the University of South Carolina, poll workers reported low turnout through 1 p.m. But those who showed up were remarkably young, female and African American, according to veteran poll workers.

UPDATE | 2:45 p.m.: At midday Pickens County reported a strong, steady turnout. One of the heaviest polling stations is in a somewhat rural area in Easley, said Ashley Harris, Pickens County registration and elections director. Four years ago, this station had 184 voters. By lunch today, 165 voters had already cast ballots, Harris said. Meanwhile, the polling stations near Clemson University also reported a stronger turnout that four years ago. "It's certainly a different dynamic than in 2004," Harris said.


ANOTHER UPDATE:

1. Turnout: Heavy statewide turnout is expected to favor U.S. Sen. Barack Obama, who was behind in earlier S.C. polls, but surged in recent weeks.

UPDATE | 3:15 p.m.: By midday Florence County's traditional Democratic precincts, in downtown Florence, the North and East sides of town and in Lake City had reported strong voter turnout, said Michael Young, the county's registration and elections director. Meanwhile, voting traffic in the traditionally Republican precincts had been slower, Young said.

UPDATE | 2:20 p.m.: At midday, Greenville County election officials were reporting brisk traffic at many precincts. "From what we hear, it is very busy out there," said Conway Belangia, registration and elections director. The day started out chilly, Belangia said, but otherwise voting has been problem free. Richland County election officials also reported a good turnout midway into the voting.
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cali Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 02:42 PM
Response to Original message
1. very interesting, very encouraging.
thanks for posting this, kristi.
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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 02:48 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. No problem. I'm following this via The State's website...
I'm anxious, but I refuse to watch on TV. I'm so sick off all the cable networks...
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bluestateguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 02:48 PM
Response to Original message
2. I'd like to see us beat the GOP in turnout for the SC primary
That would give us all something to cheer about here--before the intra-DU warfare resumes once again.
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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 02:49 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. That would be great.
They reported record low turnout for the GOP primary, but how much of that was due to poor weather/malfunctioning machines or people saving their votes for the Dems is unknown.
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tekisui Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 02:56 PM
Response to Reply #2
6. I expect it. Dem turnout has dogged goppers in each state thus far.
I don't count Michigan, or know what they had.
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Warpy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 02:55 PM
Response to Original message
5. Record turnout means a couple of things
First, people are pissed off enough to leave their homes on a weekend and brave winter weather to vote. That generally means whoever has been in charge for a long time is in danger of hitting the unemployment line very soon.

High voter turnouts generally favor Democrats all over the country, which is why the GOP always tries to block voting reform that would increase the number of voters who get to the polls.
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Kittycat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 03:34 PM
Response to Reply #5
10. It's all Dem turnout today. Pukes voted last weekend in SC.
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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 03:37 PM
Response to Reply #10
12. Voters are allowed to vote in either primary, but not both...
So it's possible that some Republicans decided to vote Dem.
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Kittycat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 03:59 PM
Response to Reply #12
15. Well, yes - I should have been more clear.
If they're voting today, they're voting for a democrat. I would expect there are quite a few disillusioned republicans voting. Can you blame them?
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suston96 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 02:57 PM
Response to Original message
7. One precinct polling place in Columbia SC turnout a "trickle" per Jessica Yellin - CNN
...around 2:50 PM.
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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 03:25 PM
Response to Original message
8. kicking for the update...n/t
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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 03:31 PM
Response to Reply #8
9. Just added another update! n/t
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BenDavid Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 03:36 PM
Response to Original message
11. Watch how the media reports this election...If obama gets
between 20 to 20% of the white vote this will be the story and not so much how big a % obama receives from the black voters.

The story can be two fold one if the media is correct in saying obama will get only 10% of the white vote today, the story will be how big a % he got in black voter turnout...and this could hurt obama more so in the next 10 days as folks will see no white support only black....

Then again and the next is where I do not trust the mediawhores. All of them ran with this one poll showing obama getting only 10% white vote...Now say Obama in the exit polling and in the final break down after the winner has been announced the mediawhores say it was obama receiving a bigger % of the white vote...This will be the story from South Carolina.....

I do not trust the mediawhores because going in the story was how many blacks would turn out and all with an iq over 65 said this would hurt obama more, but let the mediawhores see a bigger white turnout (and I honestly believe this 10% white was just some number thrown together in hopes oabma got more), so the story would be obama receives more white votes....thus the mediawhores again helping obama moreso then clinton or edwards.......
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Auntie Bush Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 03:44 PM
Response to Original message
13. Go Women Go! Vote for Hillary!
I wonder if the record turnout is noticed by george or is he still chopping wood. Oh I forgot...someone probably made him a DVD. MAN, SHOULD HE TAKE THIS PERSONALLY! I WONDER IF HE IS EVEN SMART ENOUGH TO KNOW MOST THE RECORD TURN OUT IS BECAUSE WE ALL HATE HIS GUTS AND WANT TO BE SURE HE'S THE HELL OUT OF OFFICE.
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cal04 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 03:52 PM
Response to Original message
14. How Democrats are voting in Greenville, S.C.
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/22850919/

South Carolina Democratic voters can change the shape of the presidential race Saturday as they cast ballots in what has been the hardest fought battle yet of the 2008 campaign.

Greenville County, in the northwest part of the state, is worth watching closely. The national news media frequently portrays Greenville County in stereotyped terms as the home of Bob Jones University, a place social conservative Mike Huckabee won in the GOP primary, and solidly Republican turf which George W. Bush won with two-thirds of the vote in 2004.

But more than 55,000 votes were cast for Democrat John Kerry in Greenville County in the 2004 presidential election. Lots of Democrats live here, even if they’re outnumbered two-to-one by Republicans.

Alluding to the embattled state of the minority party in this part of the South Carolina, Andy Arnold, chairman of the Greenville County Democratic Party, noted that his wife had just this week given birth to a baby boy.
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