Edwards at/above 15% in 11 of 19 Super Tuesday states polled, and

[FlyingSquirrel]

Within striking distance of 15% in the remaining 8 states which have conducted polls this year.

Sources:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_Democratic_Party_%28United_States%29_presidential_primaries%2C_2008#Kansas
http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2008/Data/Polls.html

(In some cases there was conflicting data and I checked the actual data elsewhere.)


States with recent polls (January 2008):

Oklahoma (38 Delegates): Edwards 25%, Undecided/Other 11%
Missouri (72 Delegates): Edwards 18%, Undecided/Other 15%
Colorado (55 Delegates): Edwards 17%, Undecided/Other 17%
Tennessee (68 Delegates): Edwards 16%, Undecided/Other 30%
Alabama (52 Delegates): Edwards 16%, Undecided/Other 23%
Arizona (56 Delegates): Edwards 15%, Undecided/Other 21%
Illinois (153 Delegates): Edwards 15%, Undecided/Other 12%

Georgia (87 Delegates): Edwards 13%, Undecided/Other 11%
California (370 Delegates): Edwards 11%, Undecided/Other 18%
New York (233 Delegates): Edwards 11%, Undecided/Other 13%
Massachusetts (93 Delegates): Edwards 11%, Undecided/Other 8%
New Jersey (107 Delegates): Edwards 10%, Undecided/Other 9%
Connecticut (48 Delegates): Edwards 8%, Undecided/Other 23%


States/categories with outdated polls:

Kansas (32 Delegates): Edwards 21%, Undecided/Other 30%
New Mexico (26 Delegates): Edwards 18%, Undecided/Other 40%
Minnesota (72 Delegates): Edwards 16%, Undecided/Other 15%
Idaho (18 Delegates): Edwards 15%, Undecided/Other 21%

Arkansas (35 Delegates): Edwards 14%, Undecided/Other 12%
Utah (23 Delegates): Edwards 9%, Undecided/Other 42%
Delaware (15 Delegates): Edwards 7%, Undecided/Other 35%


States/categories with no poll numbers: Alaska, American Samoa, Democrats Abroad, North Dakota (36 total Delegates)


NOTE: Margin of Error puts Edwards within range of 15% in ALL SUPER TUESDAY STATES which have been polled in January EXCEPT Connecticut which has the second-fewest delegates among recently-polled states.

[Nimrod2005]

1. What would the 15% mean?

[FlyingSquirrel]

3. It would mean he would be picking up delegates.

[golddigger]

4. Delegates...EOM

[Pirate Smile]

6. In the Caucus states it would mean viability.

[Clarkansas]

2. Delegates. eom

[OzarkDem]

5. And he's doing a big media buy

which should boost those numbers even higher.

[SammyWinstonJack]

7. ...

:woohoo:

[Turn CO Blue]

12. Yep. He's been getting $$ from us and he's buying ads!

[NJSecularist]

8. He'll pick up some delegates

If he wins 300 delegates on Super Tuesday that will be a good day for him and he will then be a power broker. He has no chance at the nomination, but he can wield some power in this race.

[FlyingSquirrel]

10. Oh no you Di-in't!

:wow:

Better go hide now!

[CTLawGuy]

9. very good news

I want Edwards to get at least 15% in each state.

[iris5426]

11. I like it :-)

Add to that the upcoming media buy and another debate and hopefully we'll pull at least some delegates from each of the states

:bounce:

[jackson_dem]

13. North Dakota should be a strong state, possibly a win for him (and some notes on polling)

There is no polling for it as you noted. Kansas had him only 6% out of the lead. He could do well there too. One Oklahoma poll had him well behind Hillary but another a week before it had him only five points behind her and well ahead of Obama. New Mexico is another state in which he was in a dead heat with the two celebrity candidates in the last poll.

[Triana]

14. YES!!! Let's keep at it folks!!!

He wants to give us a voice. He's our megaphone. Hold him up high!

[Divine Discontent]

15. kick for truth in media! n/t

[CorpGovActivist]

16. K&R n/t

[2hip]

17. Give John a helping hand

KEEP THE MOMENTUM GOING!

New Grassroots Fund Drive—Wednesday, January 30th
(Please give this link a kick for John!)

[FlyingSquirrel]

19. Glad to. n/t

[avaistheone1]

18. Way to go John!

[in_cog_ni_to]

20. GOOD! Go, John, Go! n/t

[FlyingSquirrel]

21. One last kick for good luck