Survey USA Polls most likely underestimating Hillary's lead and not sampling enough women

[Herman Munster]

Survey USA polls are sampling women at around 55% of the vote when all primaries and cacuses so far have had women closer to 60%



CT Obama + 4, but women are only 55%

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=a1098963-1ba9-4f53-b67c-e9a7583fb60e

AL TIED, women 56% of sample

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=37192ca0-6760-4dad-8c6b-2e293ebc5800

Missiouri Hillary +4, women 54%

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=7a86f9ed-29c1-4f66-96c8-f40c6e8f4820

New Jersey Hillary +12, women 55%

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=0b4838ca-2c74-4b2e-9331-73c3110174c2

[Cant trust em]

1. What is the latest from non Survey USA polls?

I haven't seen any other outlet's information today.

[rocktivity]

2. Get thee behind me, poll!

UNCLEAN! UNCLEAN!!!!



x(
rocknation

[grantcart]

3. great analysis except for one fact:

except for one election; New Hampshire, the average polls so far have been underestimating Obama by

Iowa 8.2%
S. Carolina 15.8%
Florida 5%

With such small samples you need to average the polls unless there is one (like ARG) that is consistently way off.

But if cherry picking polls helps you make it thru the weekend its ok by me.

http://poblano.dailykos.com/

[NJSecularist]

4. Umm... you are picking at straws

55% is right around the average of women voters who have shown up at the polls.