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Illinois Poll: Obama 55% +5, Clinton 24% -1 (MOE 4.4%)

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Adelante Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-02-08 12:43 PM
Original message
Illinois Poll: Obama 55% +5, Clinton 24% -1 (MOE 4.4%)

Democrats were surveyed after the Florida balloting, and additional polling was conducted to reflect former North Carolina Sen. John Edwards' departure from the race.

-snip

The new poll showed Obama's strong popularity among Illinois Democrats was bolstered by a growing confidence that he could win the White House.

When asked which candidate has the best chance of beating a Republican in November, 48 percent of Democrats said Obama, compared with 23 percent for Clinton. In December, Democrats were almost evenly divided between Obama and Clinton over who would be the better general election candidate.

The most recent poll found support for Clinton among black voters dropped by 10 percentage points and her favorable rating among African-Americans fell almost 20 percentage points amid charges her campaign sought to inject race into the contest.

At the same time, Obama, the first black contender with a legitimate chance of becoming a major party presidential nominee, gained 7 percentage points among black voters as well as white voters.

Obama voters were also more sure of their choice than Clinton supporters. One-third of Clinton supporters said they could still change their mind before voting Tuesday, compared to one-in-five Obama backers.


http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/local/chi-ilpoll03feb03,0,6281126.story

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msongs Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-02-08 12:44 PM
Response to Original message
1. wow he leads his home state. there's a huge upset for the war supporter nt
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jasmine621 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-02-08 12:46 PM
Response to Original message
2. And who "charged" Hillary's campaign of injecting race?"
this is Ill. I would expect Obama to trounce Hillary here what with all the lies and distortions by his campaign about race. But I thought at one time he was ahead by 60%. And remember, this is Chicago...I suspect the gap will close by Tuesday and her take of delgates will be reasonable.
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shaniqua6392 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-02-08 12:46 PM
Response to Original message
3. Isn't that his home state???
I would think he would do well there. But thanks for posting anyway for those who would not recognize the obvious.
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Adelante Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-02-08 12:49 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. "posting anyway for those who would not recognize the obvious"
What do you mean by that exactly?
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shaniqua6392 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-02-08 12:53 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. That a candidate typically takes his/her own home state.
That is what I meant exactly. What did you think I meant?
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Adelante Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-02-08 12:57 PM
Response to Reply #6
9. I wondered why you took the time to say it unless with another purpose in mind
Obviously a candidate is expected to do well in his/her home state, yes.
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shaniqua6392 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-02-08 01:03 PM
Response to Reply #9
10. I would never dream of saying anything
remotely negative about Obama on DU. Even if it is the truth, a person would be slashed and burned to bits for such blasphemy. Everybody knows that around here.
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featherman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-02-08 12:47 PM
Response to Original message
4. Obama needs over 60% from IL to offset Clinton's New York
advantage
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Bullet1987 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-02-08 12:57 PM
Response to Reply #4
8. I don't think so...it's not about IL vs. NY
If his Interior Strategy works and he picks up a lot of smaller delegate states...and take CA, that's all he may need to close any gap. I think it's unrealistic to expect ANY candidate to get 60% in their homestate. Obama didn't even get 60% in SC.
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BenDavid Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-02-08 01:11 PM
Response to Reply #8
15. you sure obama is taking california? why is it so easy for
many democrats to believe whatever lie the whore media feeds them?
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Reciprocity Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-02-08 01:04 PM
Response to Reply #4
12. Rasmussen had him by 60.
http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/polltracker/2008/02/a-new-batch-of-polls-for-super.html
Illinois:
Rasmussen
Obama 60%
Clinton 24%

All this says is this is a Tribune/WGN-TV poll and that's it.
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CRH Donating Member (671 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-02-08 12:55 PM
Response to Original message
7. The Daley machine is behind Obama, He will win handily there. ... n/t
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demo dutch Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-02-08 01:04 PM
Response to Original message
11. Yes so what it's his home state!
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Adelante Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-02-08 01:08 PM
Response to Reply #11
13. Have you seen no NY polls posted by Clinton supporters?
:WTF:
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Reciprocity Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-02-08 01:13 PM
Response to Reply #13
16. I posted last night. 51/39 Clinton. n/t
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demo dutch Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-02-08 01:14 PM
Response to Reply #16
17. She's ahead in NY
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RUMMYisFROSTED Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-02-08 01:08 PM
Response to Original message
14. Hillary was born in Chicago. Just an FYI. nt
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demo dutch Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-02-08 01:16 PM
Response to Reply #14
18. So, Obama was born in Hawaii and Honolulu is turning more and more republican!
Edited on Sat Feb-02-08 01:17 PM by demo dutch
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RUMMYisFROSTED Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-02-08 01:37 PM
Response to Reply #18
19. They're both centrist Dems.
:shrug:
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