Why do you all put so much faith in polls?

[BluegrassDem]

The polls have been wrong in every primary so far, with the possible exception of Nevada. Sure, I know it's nice to have a scorecard, but I see people actually making predictions based on some Rasmusssen or ARG poll. I mean, haven't we learned a lesson already? I don't care who you support, but you'd be a fool to try to predict that Hillary or Obama will win a certain state (except for IL or NY) based on polls.

Barack blew the polls out of the water in S.C. No one predicted that massive blowout. And no one predicted Hillary would win NH either. All the polls had Obama ahead of her by double digits. And as far as I can remember, there was only 1 poll in IA that was even close to the outcome, which ironically was panned as an outlier. So all you guys touting polls may end up looking silly on Wednesday morning. Just be prepared.

[msongs]

1. if your person is ahead, polls = valid. if your person is behind, polls = useless nt

[BluegrassDem]

2. I guess it's good to get a snapshot

But the polls have not been good indicators of the final result, so people need to be aware of that.

[Window]

5. LOL! That's it in a nutshell.

Personally, I don't believe any of them.



Peace:thumbsup:

[BootinUp]

3. There were plenty of caveats

expressed over and over about polling the Iowa caucus. I didn't know what polls to believe there.

NH polls could not catch the fast changing situation before the vote.

Every poll should be questioned or looked at with a discerning eye. But in general the methods do work and that is why the campaigns themselves use them.

[gravity]

4. It's the best data we have

Even though they haven't been that accurate, they do have some predictive power.