BREAKING NEWS-Obama ahead in California and tied in New Jersey and Missouri with link

[Tropics_Dude83]

From Reuters.

Latest Zogby polls:

http://www.reuters.com/article/bondsNews/idUSN0249533620080203

WASHINGTON, Feb 3 (Reuters) - Democrats Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton are running neck-and-neck in California, New Jersey and Missouri two days before the sprawling "Super Tuesday" presidential showdown, according to a Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby poll released on Sunday.

Obama has a slight lead in California and is virtually tied with Clinton in New Jersey and Missouri heading into the biggest day of voting ever in a U.S. presidential nominating campaign, with contests in 24 states.

Obama, an Illinois senator who would be the first black U.S. president, also has a comfortable 20-point lead in Georgia fueled by a more than 3-to-1 advantage over Clinton among black voters.

[usregimechange]

1. What are the %'s in CA?

[NJSecularist]

2. WOW!

And this isn't AGR. This is Zogby.

The inevitable candidate doesn't look so inevitable anymore, even in her backyard.

[Tropics_Dude83]

8. That's why I posted Breaking News

I wouldn't usually write "BREAKING NEWS" in all caps but this truly is. I subscribe to Zogby and I'll post the numbers as soon as they come out at around 2 a.m. ET.

[TwilightGardener]

3. Oh God, please let it be so...

[JackORoses]

4. Yes We Can!

[Azathoth]

5. Oh hell yeah

:bounce::woohoo::bounce::woohoo:

[Thrill]

6. Damn Herman Munster

You must feel like sh-t right now

[grantcart]

7. link please

[NJSecularist]

11. Here

http://www.reuters.com/article/newsOne/idUSN0345866120080203

[ErnestoG]

9. Baaaamm!!!

THAT'S what I'm talkin about...

[Lucinda]

10. Link please.

Thanks! :hi:

[billbuckhead]

14. Zogby is a known Hillary hater and is often way wrong.

Like saying Lazio would beat Hillary.

[NJSecularist]

16. He got South Carolina and Iowa right

[aquart]

20. Yes, he did.

[billbuckhead]

21. And was humiliated in New Hampshire

[NJSecularist]

24. As was everybody

What is your point?

Nobody predicted New Hampshire. Not one single poll predicted it.

The Shillbots are already in denial.

[ErnestoG]

25. Known Hillary hater! They MUST be wrong, right?

[Lucinda]

33. I'm not a Zogby fan, but I am a poll junkie.

I like digging through the data. :)

[FrenchieCat]

12. Never believe polls......

they are just trying to get Hillary more support and get her voters out.

I'm not listening!

[sandnsea]

15. You need to turn the herd though

For whatever reason, people need to believe they're voting for someone who can win and not throwing their vote away. We now need to make people understand how important it is to turn out.

[sandnsea]

13. 45 - 41, holy crap

http://www.reuters.com/article/topNews/idUSN0345866120080203?pageNumber=2&virtualBrandChannel=0

[CoffeeCat]

17. That's unfrickinbelieveable!

It's amazing!

I spent an hour today looking at polls. You just can't keep up, because there are new polls
out hourly, and they change so much.

If these numbers are true...Obama is completely surging. He was behind by double digits in CA, then it closed to two points
in the Rasmussen poll..now he's ahead in CA????

New Jersey--Clinton was ahead by 10, in the poll I saw earlier today. Missouri, she was ahead in MO as well.

If these numbers are accurate, he is trending upward and bringing in hordes of new voters.

I saw this happen in Iowa, in the run-up to our caucus. Hillary was ahead by several points. However, when the
campaigns kicked into high gear, you could feel something had shifted. The polls changed slightly, and the
race tightened.

We all saw what happened on caucus night...Obama won handily and Clinton came in third.

I thought Obama really needed another week, but if these numbers bear out, he's no longer behind. It's as tight
a race as it can be, and he might even have a slight advantage now.

Damn, this is just mind blowing...

[billbuckhead]

18. Why is it the first black president and never the first woman president?

The media stand on it's head to help :+bama.

[ErnestoG]

29. Take it up with NOW.

[juajen]

40. Because they know they can beat him in the GE.

The pugs will retain power if he is the dem nominee. Bank on it.

[dkf]

19. This election is CRAZY!

Yikes.

[dailykoff]

22. They said it couldn't be done, but he's doing it.

This is historic!

[Cha]

23. Don't believe polls but it's lookin'

like the inevitable one isn't so inevitable..it's a race and Obama needs to sprint!

[BootinUp]

26. Polls are all over the place again.

Anyones guess.

[Webster Green]

27. Perfect timing..

Getting major traction just ahead of Tsunami Tuesday.:wow:

[BeyondGeography]

28. All of a sudden, hell's breakin' loose

Who will tell the children in the morning?

[Drunken Irishman]

30. I'll give my left nut for this to be true.

Any takers? :D

[TwilightGardener]

46. Er...that's OK. You hang on to it.

[Tarheel_Dem]

48. are you drunk?????

I agree with weinerdoggie, you hang onto it, may come in handy? :toast:

[CoffeeCat]

31. If you want to know if these numbers are true...

Watch the candidates during the next day or so.

The candidates do their own internal polling. These
polls are never released, but they are the most
accurate numbers on the planet. They've got voter
rolls that list who is supporting which candidate, and how
hard/soft that support is.

If one of the candidates seems a bit grumpy tomorrow, and
the other one is whistling dixie--we'll know what the internals
reveal.

[Cant trust em]

32. San Francisco is buzzing for Obama right now

I see way more people sporting Obama signs in windows than Clinton. I do live in the Mission so my screening sample is a little small, but that's my report.

[WillyT]

34. Yeah Baby !!! - K & R !!!

:toast::woohoo::toast:

:wow:

[tridim]

35. Just finished watching "V For Vendetta" and then read your post

:bounce:

America is changing fast. It's a damn good feeling.

[BenDavid]

36. zogby, will find you the right numbers for the right$$$$$$ he is

about as reliable as Frank Luntz.......

[loveangelc]

37. OMG. I cannot get my hopes up. But I feel good

[David Zephyr]

38. Oh My God! I am almost in tears with joy.

Thank you Tropics_Due83 for this incredibly hopeful news.

[Tropics_Dude83]

51. I so know how you feel David. You're welcome n/t

[TeamJordan23]

39. WoW. I had a feeling this would happen. Canvassing in CA today; the trend really seems with Obama.

Based on people I talked to. GOBAMA!!

[HughMoran]

41. Weird, this CA poll shows Romney up by 3, SFC poll shows McCain up by 8

I can't comprehend the difference unless one is in error.

[Lucinda]

42. Still not finding anything other than MOE numbers and the text at the link

Bookmarking - Will check back later this morning

[Big Blue Marble]

43. Thank you for this wonderful news. n/t

[Barack_America]

44. California is getting CRAZY coverage with the phonebanking...

I was calling California tonight and actually pulled back after I heard from several people that my call was the THIRD call they'd gotten from the Obama camp.

I think that many MoveOn members took that e-mail very seriously.

I'm actually refocusing on undecided women in New Jersey and think I'll also give Oklahoma some calls.

[Tropics_Dude83]

45. Zogby Analysis

Pollster John Zogby: The Mac Attack appears ready to launch on Super Tuesday. McCains leads are commanding, except for in California where Romney leads in Southern California and among women, investors, and voters over 50. Romney holds a double digit lead there among conservatives and leads 56%-18% among very conservative voters. Romney also leads among white voters and among those who say that the war on terror and immigration are top issues.

McCain will do well because of his big leads in the other states and because of winner-take-all states. But Romney may at least have a strong showing in California. In Missouri, Huckabee is in second place by virtue of strong support with conservative and (especially) very conservative voters.

On the Democratic side, California, Missouri and New Jersey are so close. Obamas lead in California is by virtue of solid support in the Bay Area and among Independents (by 20 points), men (20 points), 18-29 year olds (31 points), very liberal voters (22 points), and African Americans (75%-14%). Clinton does well among women (11 points) and among Hispanics (64%-29%).

In Missouri, Obama has solid leads in the St. Louis region (16 points), with Independents (7 points), young voters (16 points), and African Americans (62%-26%). He also leads among moderates and men. Clinton leads in Kansas City (7 points), in the Southwest (16 points), and among liberals (8 points), women (5 points), and among voters over 65 (25 points).

Obama leads in both Northern and Southern New Jersey, among men, and among African Americans (74%16%), while Clinton again holds Hispanics (19 points), whites (10 points), moderates (8 points), liberals (8 points), Jews (22 points), women (9 points), and voters over 65.

It is all about delegates and these numbers suggest that both candidates get respectable votes and a lot of delegates.

[mihalevich]

47. shit I'm in Sw missouri

Bill was here tonight. I'm going straight to obama headquarters to help. don't get, me wrong, I like the clintons, but I'm obama 100%

[Raine]

49. I hope, I hope, I hope

so!!! :bounce:

[Lindsey]

50. I'm here in So. Cal. and I'm feelin' an Obama Surge too....

:bounce: