CBS NEWS POLL NATIONAL HRC- 41% Obama 41% Super Tuesday States - HRC 49% Obama 31%

[DemocratSinceBirth]

The picture in the states voting on Super Tuesday is not nearly as close as the overall picture and offers some good news for Clinton. Among voters in those states, she leads Obama, 49 percent to 31 percent, with 16 percent still undecided.


http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2008/02/03/opinion/polls/main3783743.shtml


Weird!!!


ON EDIT-LINK TO PDF WITH SUPER TUESDAY BREAKDOWN:

http://www.cbsnews.com/htdocs/pdf/Jan08e-Dems.pdf

[Hardrada]

1. Polls mean nothing at this point.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

2. O K

~

[Debi]

4. ssshhhh we're not allowed to have an opinion

We live in Iowa :eyes:

[bagimin]

30. *sigh*n/t

[Justice Is Comin]

10. Shhh ....obamabots sleeping

[shaniqua6392]

13. Unless they favor Obama.

If they favor Clinton, then Obama lovers do not want to hear it.

[Colobo]

3. Mmm.. I think there is a 50/50 chance for each of them. Obama might actually

wind up winning even in California.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

7. I'm Not A Spinner

That 49% -31% Super Tuesday figure is interesting...

[Colobo]

11. It's weird and doesn't match many of the current polls out there.

[Proud2BAmurkin]

5. blowout on tsunami tuesday

[DemocratSinceBirth]

12. That 49% -31% Figure Is Intersting

~

[cloudythescribbler]

34. when this expectation is frustrated, will u eat your words, P2BA?

[lvx35]

6. Super Tues. Could be another rout for Obama.

That's the thing. Nobody saw SC coming to the extent that it did, but it came. The same could happen here very easily.

[Colobo]

8. For some reason, I'm starting to sense it will be.

[lvx35]

18. You may be right.

He may just be the fittest animal who gets to survive. Its okay if so. Hillary came into this is a really strong machine, if he was able to build his machine by bringing youth votes in, its a well deserved win.

[dorktv]

14. awww...mice are cute...

I was a bit surprised at SC but then I thought "considering the context and President Clinton was being silly..."

[lvx35]

23. That's the other side, she's still polling ahead.

And could still take it. I hope she does because I like her health care plan better, but I am really just acknowledging the limitations of my knowledge here. I've been surprised quite a few times here.

edit: My gut feeling has always been that Hillary would take the nomination, for whatever that's worth.

[dorktv]

26. She has New York...but Cali is up for grabs...I think she may get AZ.

That is all I am going to guess on.

[ellisonz]

9. The poll is sampled to reflect the national electorate.

A "Super Tuesday" poll would have to be balanced to reflect the aggregate demographic makeup of those states.

Edit: plus, they probably are polling previous voters and so there's no way to account for turnout on a national scale.

It's probably not tied but close with Hillary a bit ahead.

[NJSecularist]

15. Just more selective sampling by the Hillbots

Not a surprise.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

24. Hillbot

Here's the link to the PDF if you can read it...That's how CBS breaks it down:

http://www.cbsnews.com/htdocs/pdf/Jan08e-Dems.pdf

[juajen]

29. Pollybamas

[Hardrada]

36. LOL!

[UALRBSofL]

20. I hope this is true polls

YES WE CAN YES WE CAN
VOTE HILLARY

[BeyondGeography]

16. "Democratic primary voters"

I take it that means registered Dems. That would explain the Feb. 5 numbers...then again; how is he tied nationally if he's down 18 points in half the country?

Makes no sense to me...

[Colobo]

17. Something is wrong in that picture.

[ruggerson]

21. I'm sure he's going to do far closer to the national numbers

than the primary stats

[Renew Deal]

22. Is he winning non primary states by the same margin?

That's weird.

[ErnestoG]

19. Hillarites suddenly became a fan of polls when they favor Her Majesty

I'm sure this is not news....

[rodeodance]

25. No, not news. But you knew that didn't you!!!

[jefferson_dem]

27. Obama with 34% of whites, Hillary with 23% of blacks. They are equal among white men.

Those digits are excellent for Obama, not good at all for Hillary.

[Andromeda]

37. Hillary wins with the majority

of women, black and white.

[lurky]

28. 491 Democratic primary voters.

That's barely large enough for a meaningful poll, and if you break it down by state (as in the Super Tuesday percentages), the sample sizes are too small to say anything significant, IMO.

[stevietheman]

31. Was Super Tuesday Breakdown shown with New York subtracted?

I would think that New York might be weighting down Obama's true strength.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

33. NY Has About Half The Population Of Cali Or Thereabouts

~

[Barack_America]

32. Yea for New York, New Jersey and California on having...

large populations.

That's all this 49% to 31% statistic tells me.

Thank God the rest of us otherwise insignificant states get to speak for ourselves.

[MoonRiver]

35. Maybe those in Super Tues. states are paying more attention and deciding between the two.

Others might still be in a fog. Who knows? It is weird though. But good for THE LADY! :kick: