Obama surges in CA. Seem only the lack of time to campaign is saving Clinton from defeat.

[Sensitivity]

ZOGBY

California Democrats

1-31/2-2

Clinton 41%
Obama 45%
Gravel 1%
Undecided/someone else 15%
Sample: 1,141 likely voters
Margin of error: +/- 2.9 percentage points

“On the Democratic side, California, Missouri and New Jersey are so close. Obama’s lead in California is by virtue of solid support in the Bay Area and among Independents (by 20 points), men (20 points), 18-29 year olds (31 points), very liberal voters (22 points), and African Americans (75%-14%). Clinton does well among women (11 points) and among Hispanics (64%-29%).

[Schema Thing]

1. mmm, about that time thing.....

;)

[Drunken Irishman]

2. Lack of time may actually benefit Obama.

He's peaking at the right moment.

[NightWatcher]

3. something to consider: many young people who support both candidates only have cell phones

and those people have not been polled. I say we have no idea who has the lead in most states.

This thing is dead even in my book.

[mikekohr]

4. Zogby

Zogby's polls are phone and on-line based. I do not have the methodology on this particular poll. Anybody out there have it?

mike kohr